Files
OpenBB/gamestonk_terminal/common/prediction_techniques/regression_view.py
jmaslek 7ba964d61e (Finally) add prediction abilities to crypto (#1004)
* Basic integration of crypto pred

* Add loading into crypto pred

* Change all pred _views to allow for other datetime than daily

* small mypy change

* Add pred menu description and catch if no coin is loaded.

Co-authored-by: James Maslek <james@jamess-mbp.myfiosgateway.com>
2021-12-01 23:20:24 +00:00

255 lines
7.6 KiB
Python

""" Regression View"""
__docformat__ = "numpy"
from typing import Union
import os
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import pandas as pd
from pandas.plotting import register_matplotlib_converters
from gamestonk_terminal.helper_funcs import (
patch_pandas_text_adjustment,
get_next_stock_market_days,
plot_autoscale,
export_data,
)
from gamestonk_terminal.common.prediction_techniques.pred_helper import (
print_pretty_prediction,
price_prediction_backtesting_color,
print_prediction_kpis,
)
from gamestonk_terminal.common.prediction_techniques import regression_model
from gamestonk_terminal.config_plot import PLOT_DPI
from gamestonk_terminal import feature_flags as gtff
register_matplotlib_converters()
# pylint:disable=too-many-arguments
def display_regression(
dataset: str,
values: Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame],
poly_order: int,
n_input: int,
n_predict: int,
n_jumps: int,
s_end_date: str = "",
export: str = "",
time_res: str = "",
):
"""Display predications for regression models
Parameters
----------
dataset : str
Title for data
values : Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame]
Data to fit
poly_order : int
Order of polynomial to fit
n_input : int
Length of input sequence
n_predict : int
Length of prediction sequence
n_jumps : int
Number of jumps in data
s_end_date : str, optional
Start date for backtesting
export : str, optional
Format for exporting figures
time_res : str
Resolution for data, allowing for predicting outside of standard market days
"""
# BACKTESTING
if s_end_date:
if not time_res:
future_index = get_next_stock_market_days(
last_stock_day=s_end_date, n_next_days=n_predict
)
else:
future_index = pd.date_range(
s_end_date, periods=n_predict + 1, freq=time_res
)[1:]
df_future = values[future_index[0] : future_index[-1]]
values = values[:s_end_date] # type: ignore
l_predictions, _ = regression_model.get_regression_model(
values, poly_order, n_input, n_predict, n_jumps
)
# Prediction data
if not time_res:
l_pred_days = get_next_stock_market_days(
last_stock_day=values.index[-1],
n_next_days=n_predict,
)
else:
l_pred_days = pd.date_range(
values.index[-1], periods=n_predict + 1, freq=time_res
)[1:]
df_pred = pd.Series(l_predictions, index=l_pred_days, name="Price")
# Plotting
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=plot_autoscale(), dpi=PLOT_DPI)
ax.plot(values.index, values, lw=2)
# BACKTESTING
if s_end_date:
ax.set_title(
f"BACKTESTING: Regression (polynomial {poly_order}) on {dataset} - {n_predict} step prediction"
)
else:
ax.set_title(
f"Regression (polynomial {poly_order}) on {dataset} - {n_predict} step prediction"
)
ax.set_xlim(values.index[0], l_pred_days[-1])
ax.set_xlabel("Time")
ax.set_ylabel("Value")
ax.grid(b=True, which="major", color="#666666", linestyle="-")
ax.minorticks_on()
ax.grid(b=True, which="minor", color="#999999", linestyle="-", alpha=0.2)
ax.plot(
[values.index[-1], df_pred.index[0]],
[values.values[-1], df_pred.values[0]],
lw=1,
c="tab:green",
linestyle="--",
)
ax.plot(df_pred.index, df_pred, lw=2, c="tab:green")
ax.axvspan(values.index[-1], df_pred.index[-1], facecolor="tab:orange", alpha=0.2)
_, _, ymin, ymax = plt.axis()
ax.vlines(values.index[-1], ymin, ymax, linewidth=1, linestyle="--", color="k")
# BACKTESTING
if s_end_date:
ax.plot(
df_future.index,
df_future,
lw=2,
c="tab:blue",
ls="--",
)
ax.plot(
[values.index[-1], df_future.index[0]],
[
values.values[-1],
df_future.values[0],
],
lw=1,
c="tab:blue",
linestyle="--",
)
fig.tight_layout()
if gtff.USE_ION:
plt.ion()
plt.show()
export_data(export, os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__)), "regression")
print("")
# BACKTESTING
if s_end_date:
fig, ax = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=plot_autoscale(), dpi=PLOT_DPI)
ax0 = ax[0]
ax0.plot(
df_future.index,
df_future,
lw=2,
c="tab:blue",
ls="--",
)
ax0.plot(df_pred.index, df_pred, lw=2, c="green")
ax0.scatter(df_future.index, df_future, c="tab:blue", lw=3)
ax0.plot(
[values.index[-1], df_future.index[0]],
[
values.values[-1],
df_future.values[0],
],
lw=2,
c="tab:blue",
ls="--",
)
ax0.scatter(df_pred.index, df_pred, c="green", lw=3)
ax0.plot(
[values.index[-1], df_pred.index[0]],
[values.values[-1], df_pred.values[0]],
lw=2,
c="green",
ls="--",
)
ax0.set_title("BACKTESTING: Real data vs Prediction")
ax0.set_xlim(values.index[-1], df_pred.index[-1])
ax0.set_xticks([values.index[-1], df_pred.index[-1]])
ax0.set_ylabel("Value")
ax0.grid(b=True, which="major", color="#666666", linestyle="-")
ax0.minorticks_on()
ax0.grid(b=True, which="minor", color="#999999", linestyle="-", alpha=0.2)
ax0.legend(["Real data", "Prediction data"])
ax0.set_xticks([])
ax1 = ax[1]
ax1.axhline(y=0, color="k", linestyle="--", linewidth=2)
ax1.plot(
df_future.index,
100 * (df_pred.values - df_future.values) / df_future.values,
lw=2,
c="red",
)
ax1.scatter(
df_future.index,
100 * (df_pred.values - df_future.values) / df_future.values,
c="red",
lw=5,
)
ax1.set_title("BACKTESTING: Error between Real data and Prediction [%]")
ax1.plot(
[values.index[-1], df_future.index[0]],
[
0,
100 * (df_pred.values[0] - df_future.values[0]) / df_future.values[0],
],
lw=2,
ls="--",
c="red",
)
ax1.set_xlim(values.index[-1], df_pred.index[-1])
ax1.set_xticks([values.index[-1], df_pred.index[-1]])
ax1.set_xlabel("Time")
ax1.set_ylabel("Prediction Error (%)")
ax1.grid(b=True, which="major", color="#666666", linestyle="-")
ax1.minorticks_on()
ax1.grid(b=True, which="minor", color="#999999", linestyle="-", alpha=0.2)
ax1.legend(["Real data", "Prediction data"])
fig.tight_layout()
if gtff.USE_ION:
plt.ion()
plt.show()
# Refactor prediction dataframe for backtesting print
df_pred.name = "Prediction"
df_pred = df_pred.to_frame()
df_pred["Real"] = df_future
if gtff.USE_COLOR:
patch_pandas_text_adjustment()
print("Time Real [$] x Prediction [$]")
print(df_pred.apply(price_prediction_backtesting_color, axis=1).to_string())
else:
print(df_pred[["Real", "Prediction"]].round(2).to_string())
print("")
print_prediction_kpis(df_pred["Real"].values, df_pred["Prediction"].values)
else:
# Print prediction data
print_pretty_prediction(df_pred, values.values[-1])
print("")