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OpenBB/openbb_terminal/forecast/linregr_model.py
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---------

Co-authored-by: james <jmaslek11@gmail.com>
2023-02-20 19:27:34 -05:00

117 lines
3.3 KiB
Python

# pylint: disable=too-many-arguments
"""Linear Regression Model"""
__docformat__ = "numpy"
import logging
import warnings
from typing import List, Optional, Tuple, Union
import pandas as pd
from darts import TimeSeries
from darts.models import LinearRegressionModel
from openbb_terminal.decorators import log_start_end
from openbb_terminal.forecast import helpers
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
@log_start_end(log=logger)
def get_linear_regression_data(
data: Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame],
target_column: str = "close",
n_predict: int = 5,
past_covariates: Optional[str] = None,
train_split: float = 0.85,
forecast_horizon: int = 5,
output_chunk_length: int = 5,
lags: Union[int, List[int]] = 14,
random_state: Optional[int] = None,
metric: str = "mape",
) -> Tuple[
List[TimeSeries],
List[TimeSeries],
List[TimeSeries],
float,
LinearRegressionModel,
]:
"""Perform Linear Regression Forecasting
Parameters
----------
data: Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame]
Input Data
target_column: str
Target column to forecast. Defaults to "close".
n_predict: int
Days to predict. Defaults to 5.
train_split: float
Train/val split. Defaults to 0.85.
past_covariates: str
Multiple secondary columns to factor in when forecasting. Defaults to None.
forecast_horizon: int
Forecast horizon when performing historical forecasting. Defaults to 5.
output_chunk_length: int
The length of the forecast of the model. Defaults to 1.
lags: Union[int, List[int]]
lagged target values to predict the next time step
random_state: Optional[int]
The state for the model
metric: str
The metric to use for the model. Defaults to "mape".
Returns
-------
Tuple[List[TimeSeries], List[TimeSeries], List[TimeSeries], float, LinearRegressionModel]
Adjusted Data series,
Historical forecast by best RNN model,
list of Predictions,
Mean average precision error,
Best Linear Regression Model.
"""
use_scalers = False
probabilistic = True
scaler, ticker_series = helpers.get_series(
data, target_column, is_scaler=use_scalers
)
past_covariate_whole, _, _ = helpers.past_covs(
past_covariates, data, train_split, use_scalers
)
lags_past_covariates = lags if past_covariates is not None else None
lin_reg_model = LinearRegressionModel(
output_chunk_length=output_chunk_length,
lags=lags,
lags_past_covariates=lags_past_covariates,
likelihood="quantile",
quantiles=[0.05, 0.1, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 0.9, 0.95],
random_state=random_state,
)
with warnings.catch_warnings():
warnings.simplefilter(action="ignore", category=FutureWarning)
if past_covariates is not None:
lin_reg_model.fit(
series=ticker_series, past_covariates=past_covariate_whole
)
else:
lin_reg_model.fit(series=ticker_series)
return helpers.get_prediction(
"Logistic Regression",
probabilistic,
use_scalers,
scaler,
past_covariates,
lin_reg_model,
ticker_series,
past_covariate_whole,
train_split,
forecast_horizon,
n_predict,
metric,
)