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OpenBB/openbb_terminal/forecast/nhits_view.py
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---------

Co-authored-by: Theodore Aptekarev <aptekarev@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: Chavithra <chavithra@gmail.com>
2023-03-01 22:48:45 -05:00

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"""Nhits View"""
__docformat__ = "numpy"
import logging
from datetime import datetime
from typing import Optional, Tuple, Union
import pandas as pd
from openbb_terminal.decorators import log_start_end
from openbb_terminal.forecast import helpers, nhits_model
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
# pylint: disable=R0913,R0914
@log_start_end(log=logger)
def display_nhits_forecast(
data: Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame],
target_column: str = "close",
dataset_name: str = "",
n_predict: int = 5,
past_covariates: Optional[str] = None,
train_split: float = 0.85,
forecast_horizon: int = 5,
input_chunk_length: int = 14,
output_chunk_length: int = 5,
num_stacks: int = 3,
num_blocks: int = 1,
num_layers: int = 2,
layer_widths: int = 512,
pooling_kernel_sizes: Optional[Tuple[Tuple[int]]] = None,
n_freq_downsample: Optional[Tuple[Tuple[int]]] = None,
dropout: float = 0.1,
activation: str = "ReLU",
max_pool_1d: bool = True,
batch_size: int = 32,
n_epochs: int = 100,
learning_rate: float = 1e-3,
model_save_name: str = "nhits_model",
force_reset: bool = True,
save_checkpoints: bool = True,
export: str = "",
sheet_name: Optional[str] = None,
residuals: bool = False,
forecast_only: bool = False,
start_date: Optional[datetime] = None,
end_date: Optional[datetime] = None,
naive: bool = False,
export_pred_raw: bool = False,
metric: str = "mape",
external_axes: bool = False,
):
"""Display Nhits forecast
Parameters
----------
data: Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame]
Input Data
target_column: str
Target column to forecast. Defaults to "close".
dataset_name: str
The name of the ticker to be predicted
n_predict: int
Days to predict. Defaults to 5.
train_split: float
Train/val split. Defaults to 0.85.
past_covariates: str
Multiple secondary columns to factor in when forecasting. Defaults to None.
forecast_horizon: int
Forecast horizon when performing historical forecasting. Defaults to 5.
input_chunk_length: int
Number of past time steps that are fed to the forecasting module at prediction time. Defaults to 14.
output_chunk_length: int
The length of the forecast of the model. Defaults to 5.
num_stacks: int
The number of stacks that make up the whole model.
num_blocks: int
The number of blocks making up every stack.
num_layers: int
The number of fully connected layers preceding the final forking layers in each block
of every stack.
layer_widths: int
Determines the number of neurons that make up each fully connected layer in each
block of every stack. If a list is passed, it must have a length equal to num_stacks
and every entry in that list corresponds to the layer width of the corresponding stack.
If an integer is passed, every stack will have blocks with FC layers of the same width.
pooling_kernel_size: Optional[Tuple[Tuple[int]]]
If set, this parameter must be a tuple of tuples, of size (num_stacks x num_blocks),
specifying the kernel size for each block in each stack used for the input pooling
layer. If left to None, some default values will be used based on input_chunk_length.
n_freq_downsample: Optional[Tuple[Tuple[int]]]
If set, this parameter must be a tuple of tuples, of size (num_stacks x num_blocks),
specifying the downsampling factors before interpolation, for each block in each stack.
If left to None, some default values will be used based on output_chunk_length.
dropout: float
The dropout probability to be used in fully connected layers.
activation: str
Supported activations: [[‘ReLU’,’RReLU’, ‘PReLU’, ‘Softplus’, ‘Tanh’, ‘SELU’, ‘LeakyReLU’, ‘Sigmoid’]
max_pool_1d: bool
Use max_pool_1d pooling. False uses AvgPool1d.
batch_size: int
Number of time series (input and output sequences) used in each training pass. Defaults to 32.
n_epochs: int
Number of epochs over which to train the model. Defaults to 100.
learning_rate: float
Defaults to 1e-3.
model_save_name: str
Name for model. Defaults to "brnn_model".
force_reset: bool
If set to True, any previously-existing model with the same name will be reset
(all checkpoints will be discarded). Defaults to True.
save_checkpoints: bool
Whether or not to automatically save the untrained model and checkpoints from training.
Defaults to True.
sheet_name: str
Optionally specify the name of the sheet the data is exported to.
export: str
Format to export data
residuals: bool
Whether to show residuals for the model. Defaults to False.
forecast_only: bool
Whether to only show dates in the forecasting range. Defaults to False.
start_date: Optional[datetime]
The starting date to perform analysis, data before this is trimmed. Defaults to None.
end_date: Optional[datetime]
The ending date to perform analysis, data after this is trimmed. Defaults to None.
naive: bool
Whether to show the naive baseline. This just assumes the closing price will be the same
as the previous day's closing price. Defaults to False.
export_pred_raw: bool
Whether to export the raw predicted values. Defaults to False.
metric: str
Metric to use for evaluation. Defaults to "mape".
external_axes : bool, optional
Whether to return the figure object or not, by default False
"""
data = helpers.clean_data(
data, start_date, end_date, target_column, past_covariates
)
if not helpers.check_data(data, target_column, past_covariates):
return None
output_chunk_length = helpers.check_output(
output_chunk_length, n_predict, bool(past_covariates)
)
(
ticker_series,
historical_fcast,
predicted_values,
precision,
_model,
) = nhits_model.get_nhits_data(
data=data,
n_predict=n_predict,
target_column=target_column,
past_covariates=past_covariates,
train_split=train_split,
forecast_horizon=forecast_horizon,
input_chunk_length=input_chunk_length,
output_chunk_length=output_chunk_length,
num_stacks=num_stacks,
num_blocks=num_blocks,
num_layers=num_layers,
layer_widths=layer_widths,
pooling_kernel_sizes=pooling_kernel_sizes,
n_freq_downsample=n_freq_downsample,
dropout=dropout,
activation=activation,
max_pool_1d=max_pool_1d,
batch_size=batch_size,
n_epochs=n_epochs,
learning_rate=learning_rate,
model_save_name=model_save_name,
force_reset=force_reset,
save_checkpoints=save_checkpoints,
metric=metric,
)
if ticker_series == []:
return None
probabilistic = False
fig = helpers.plot_forecast(
name="NHITS",
target_col=target_column,
historical_fcast=historical_fcast,
predicted_values=predicted_values,
ticker_series=ticker_series,
ticker_name=dataset_name,
data=data,
n_predict=n_predict,
forecast_horizon=forecast_horizon,
past_covariates=past_covariates,
precision=precision,
probabilistic=probabilistic,
export=export,
sheet_name=sheet_name,
forecast_only=forecast_only,
naive=naive,
export_pred_raw=export_pred_raw,
metric=metric,
external_axes=external_axes,
)
if residuals:
helpers.plot_residuals(
_model, past_covariates, ticker_series, forecast_horizon=forecast_horizon
)
return fig