Files
OpenBB/openbb_terminal/forecast/nbeats_model.py
martinb-bb e1bba247e2 Forecast docstring fixes and other things (#3564)
* init commit for doc string fixes

* quick fix

* Forecast Guide Draft 1

* grammar

* sentence edit

* missing word

* target column is a string, not a list. ooops

* clarification on default target column

* minor mods

* more fixes

* Fixed dashboard

* val instead of tickerseries

* Added fixes

* $ --> <>

* Fixed pylint

* one quick change

Co-authored-by: Danglewood <85772166+deeleeramone@users.noreply.github.com>
Co-authored-by: Colin Delahunty <72827203+colin99d@users.noreply.github.com>
Co-authored-by: colin99d <colin99delahunty@gmail.com>
2022-11-25 17:13:38 -05:00

166 lines
5.2 KiB
Python

# pylint: disable=too-many-arguments
"""NBEATS Model"""
__docformat__ = "numpy"
import logging
import warnings
from typing import Tuple, Union, List, Optional
import pandas as pd
from darts import TimeSeries
from darts.models import NBEATSModel
from openbb_terminal.decorators import log_start_end
from openbb_terminal.forecast import helpers
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
@log_start_end(log=logger)
def get_NBEATS_data(
data: Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame],
target_column: str = "close",
n_predict: int = 5,
past_covariates: str = None,
train_split: float = 0.85,
forecast_horizon: int = 5,
input_chunk_length: int = 14,
output_chunk_length: int = 5,
num_stacks: int = 10,
num_blocks: int = 3,
num_layers: int = 4,
layer_widths: int = 512,
batch_size: int = 800,
n_epochs: int = 300,
learning_rate: float = 1e-3,
model_save_name: str = "nbeats_model",
force_reset: bool = True,
save_checkpoints: bool = True,
) -> Tuple[
Optional[List[TimeSeries]],
Optional[List[TimeSeries]],
Optional[List[TimeSeries]],
Optional[float],
Optional[type[NBEATSModel]],
]:
"""Perform NBEATS Forecasting
Parameters
----------
data: Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame]
Input Data
target_column: str
Target column to forecast. Defaults to "close".
n_predict: int
Days to predict. Defaults to 5.
train_split: float
Train/val split. Defaults to 0.85.
past_covariates: str
Multiple secondary columns to factor in when forecasting. Defaults to None.
forecast_horizon: int
Forecast horizon when performing historical forecasting. Defaults to 5.
input_chunk_length: int
Number of past time steps that are fed to the forecasting module at prediction time. Defaults to 14.
output_chunk_length: int
The length of the forecast of the model. Defaults to 5.
num_stacks: int
The number of stacks that make up the whole model. Defaults to 10.
num_blocks: int
The number of blocks making up every stack. Defaults to 3.
num_layers: int
The number of fully connected layers preceding the final forking layers in each block
of every stack. Defaults to 4.
layer_widths: int
Determines the number of neurons that make up each fully connected layer in each block
of every stack. Defaults to 512.
batch_size: int
Number of time series (input and output sequences) used in each training pass. Defaults to 32.
n_epochs: int
Number of epochs over which to train the model. Defaults to 100.
learning_rate: float
Defaults to 1e-3.
model_save_name: str
Name for model. Defaults to "brnn_model".
force_reset: bool
If set to True, any previously-existing model with the same name will be reset
(all checkpoints will be discarded). Defaults to True.
save_checkpoints: bool
Whether or not to automatically save the untrained model and checkpoints from training.
Defaults to True.
Returns
-------
Tuple[List[TimeSeries], List[TimeSeries], List[TimeSeries], Optional[float], type[NBEATSModel]]
Adjusted Data series,
Historical forecast by best RNN model,
list of Predictions,
Mean average precision error,
Best NBEATS Model.
"""
use_scalers = True
probabilistic = False
scaler, ticker_series = helpers.get_series(
data, target_column, is_scaler=use_scalers
)
train, val = ticker_series.split_before(train_split)
valid = helpers.check_data_length(
train, val, input_chunk_length, output_chunk_length
)
if not valid:
return [], [], [], None, None
(
past_covariate_whole,
past_covariate_train,
past_covariate_val,
) = helpers.past_covs(past_covariates, data, train_split, use_scalers)
nbeats_model = NBEATSModel(
input_chunk_length=input_chunk_length,
output_chunk_length=output_chunk_length,
generic_architecture=True,
num_stacks=num_stacks,
num_blocks=num_blocks,
num_layers=num_layers,
layer_widths=layer_widths,
n_epochs=n_epochs,
nr_epochs_val_period=1,
batch_size=batch_size,
optimizer_kwargs={"lr": learning_rate},
model_name=model_save_name,
force_reset=force_reset,
save_checkpoints=save_checkpoints,
random_state=42,
pl_trainer_kwargs=helpers.get_pl_kwargs(accelerator="cpu"),
)
# fit model on train series for historical forecasting
with warnings.catch_warnings():
warnings.simplefilter("ignore")
helpers.fit_model(
nbeats_model,
train,
val,
past_covariate_train,
past_covariate_val,
)
best_model = NBEATSModel.load_from_checkpoint(model_name=model_save_name, best=True)
# Showing historical backtesting without retraining model (too slow)
return helpers.get_prediction(
"NBEATS",
probabilistic,
use_scalers,
scaler,
past_covariates,
best_model,
ticker_series,
past_covariate_whole,
train_split,
forecast_horizon,
n_predict,
)