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* init commit for doc string fixes * quick fix * Forecast Guide Draft 1 * grammar * sentence edit * missing word * target column is a string, not a list. ooops * clarification on default target column * minor mods * more fixes * Fixed dashboard * val instead of tickerseries * Added fixes * $ --> <> * Fixed pylint * one quick change Co-authored-by: Danglewood <85772166+deeleeramone@users.noreply.github.com> Co-authored-by: Colin Delahunty <72827203+colin99d@users.noreply.github.com> Co-authored-by: colin99d <colin99delahunty@gmail.com>
166 lines
5.2 KiB
Python
166 lines
5.2 KiB
Python
# pylint: disable=too-many-arguments
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"""NBEATS Model"""
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__docformat__ = "numpy"
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import logging
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import warnings
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from typing import Tuple, Union, List, Optional
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import pandas as pd
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from darts import TimeSeries
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from darts.models import NBEATSModel
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from openbb_terminal.decorators import log_start_end
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from openbb_terminal.forecast import helpers
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logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
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@log_start_end(log=logger)
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def get_NBEATS_data(
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data: Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame],
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target_column: str = "close",
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n_predict: int = 5,
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past_covariates: str = None,
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train_split: float = 0.85,
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forecast_horizon: int = 5,
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input_chunk_length: int = 14,
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output_chunk_length: int = 5,
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num_stacks: int = 10,
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num_blocks: int = 3,
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num_layers: int = 4,
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layer_widths: int = 512,
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batch_size: int = 800,
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n_epochs: int = 300,
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learning_rate: float = 1e-3,
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model_save_name: str = "nbeats_model",
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force_reset: bool = True,
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save_checkpoints: bool = True,
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) -> Tuple[
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Optional[List[TimeSeries]],
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Optional[List[TimeSeries]],
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Optional[List[TimeSeries]],
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Optional[float],
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Optional[type[NBEATSModel]],
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]:
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"""Perform NBEATS Forecasting
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Parameters
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----------
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data: Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame]
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Input Data
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target_column: str
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Target column to forecast. Defaults to "close".
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n_predict: int
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Days to predict. Defaults to 5.
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train_split: float
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Train/val split. Defaults to 0.85.
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past_covariates: str
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Multiple secondary columns to factor in when forecasting. Defaults to None.
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forecast_horizon: int
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Forecast horizon when performing historical forecasting. Defaults to 5.
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input_chunk_length: int
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Number of past time steps that are fed to the forecasting module at prediction time. Defaults to 14.
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output_chunk_length: int
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The length of the forecast of the model. Defaults to 5.
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num_stacks: int
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The number of stacks that make up the whole model. Defaults to 10.
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num_blocks: int
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The number of blocks making up every stack. Defaults to 3.
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num_layers: int
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The number of fully connected layers preceding the final forking layers in each block
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of every stack. Defaults to 4.
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layer_widths: int
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Determines the number of neurons that make up each fully connected layer in each block
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of every stack. Defaults to 512.
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batch_size: int
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Number of time series (input and output sequences) used in each training pass. Defaults to 32.
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n_epochs: int
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Number of epochs over which to train the model. Defaults to 100.
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learning_rate: float
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Defaults to 1e-3.
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model_save_name: str
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Name for model. Defaults to "brnn_model".
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force_reset: bool
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If set to True, any previously-existing model with the same name will be reset
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(all checkpoints will be discarded). Defaults to True.
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save_checkpoints: bool
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Whether or not to automatically save the untrained model and checkpoints from training.
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Defaults to True.
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Returns
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-------
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Tuple[List[TimeSeries], List[TimeSeries], List[TimeSeries], Optional[float], type[NBEATSModel]]
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Adjusted Data series,
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Historical forecast by best RNN model,
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list of Predictions,
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Mean average precision error,
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Best NBEATS Model.
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"""
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use_scalers = True
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probabilistic = False
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scaler, ticker_series = helpers.get_series(
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data, target_column, is_scaler=use_scalers
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)
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train, val = ticker_series.split_before(train_split)
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valid = helpers.check_data_length(
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train, val, input_chunk_length, output_chunk_length
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)
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if not valid:
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return [], [], [], None, None
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(
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past_covariate_whole,
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past_covariate_train,
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past_covariate_val,
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) = helpers.past_covs(past_covariates, data, train_split, use_scalers)
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nbeats_model = NBEATSModel(
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input_chunk_length=input_chunk_length,
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output_chunk_length=output_chunk_length,
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generic_architecture=True,
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num_stacks=num_stacks,
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num_blocks=num_blocks,
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num_layers=num_layers,
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layer_widths=layer_widths,
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n_epochs=n_epochs,
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nr_epochs_val_period=1,
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batch_size=batch_size,
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optimizer_kwargs={"lr": learning_rate},
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model_name=model_save_name,
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force_reset=force_reset,
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save_checkpoints=save_checkpoints,
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random_state=42,
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pl_trainer_kwargs=helpers.get_pl_kwargs(accelerator="cpu"),
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)
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# fit model on train series for historical forecasting
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with warnings.catch_warnings():
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warnings.simplefilter("ignore")
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helpers.fit_model(
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nbeats_model,
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train,
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val,
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past_covariate_train,
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past_covariate_val,
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)
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best_model = NBEATSModel.load_from_checkpoint(model_name=model_save_name, best=True)
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# Showing historical backtesting without retraining model (too slow)
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return helpers.get_prediction(
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"NBEATS",
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probabilistic,
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use_scalers,
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scaler,
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past_covariates,
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best_model,
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ticker_series,
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past_covariate_whole,
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train_split,
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forecast_horizon,
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n_predict,
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)
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