Files
OpenBB/openbb_terminal/forecast/trans_model.py
martinb-bb 80f857a22a Allow users to export predictions into raw csv (#2884)
* expo and theta

* rnn + controller updates

* changes and fixes to the rest

* updated docs

* format csv

Co-authored-by: James Maslek <jmaslek11@gmail.com>
2022-10-17 19:47:18 -04:00

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# pylint: disable=too-many-arguments
"""Transformer Model"""
__docformat__ = "numpy"
import logging
import warnings
from typing import Any, Tuple, Union, List, Optional
import pandas as pd
from darts import TimeSeries
from darts.models import TransformerModel
from openbb_terminal.decorators import log_start_end
from openbb_terminal.forecast import helpers
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
@log_start_end(log=logger)
def get_trans_data(
data: Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame],
target_column: str = "close",
n_predict: int = 5,
train_split: float = 0.85,
past_covariates: str = None,
forecast_horizon: int = 5,
input_chunk_length: int = 14,
output_chunk_length: int = 5,
d_model: int = 64,
nhead: int = 4,
num_encoder_layers: int = 3,
num_decoder_layers: int = 3,
dim_feedforward: int = 512,
activation: str = "relu",
dropout: float = 0.0,
batch_size: int = 32,
n_epochs: int = 100,
learning_rate: float = 1e-3,
model_save_name: str = "trans_model",
force_reset: bool = True,
save_checkpoints: bool = True,
) -> Tuple[List[TimeSeries], List[TimeSeries], List[TimeSeries], Optional[float], Any]:
"""Performs Transformer forecasting
Args:
data (Union[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame]):
Input Data
n_predict (int, optional):
Days to predict. Defaults to 5.
target_column (str, optional):
Target column to forecast. Defaults to "close".
train_split (float, optional):
Train/val split. Defaults to 0.85.
past_covariates (str, optional):
Multiple secondary columns to factor in when forecasting. Defaults to None.
forecast_horizon (int, optional):
Forecast horizon when performing historical forecasting. Defaults to 5.
input_chunk_length (int, optional):
Number of past time steps that are fed to the forecasting module at prediction time. Defaults to 14.
output_chunk_length (int, optional):
The length of the forecast of the model. Defaults to 5.
d_model (int):
The number of expected features in the encoder/decoder inputs. Defaults to 64.
nhead (int):
The number of heads in the multi-head attention mechanism. Defaults to 4.
num_encoder_layers (int):
The number of encoder layers in the encoder. Defaults to 3.
num_decoder_layers (int):
The number of decoder layers in the encoder. Defaults to 3.
dim_feedforward (int):
The dimension of the feedforward network model. Defaults to 512.
activation (str):
The activation function of encoder/decoder intermediate layer, ‘relu’ or ‘gelu’. Defaults to 'relu'.
dropout (float, optional):
Fraction of neurons afected by Dropout. Defaults to 0.0.
batch_size (int, optional):
Number of time series (input and output sequences) used in each training pass. Defaults to 32.
n_epochs (int, optional):
Number of epochs over which to train the model. Defaults to 100.
learning_rate (float, optional):
Defaults to 1e-3.
model_save_name (str, optional):
Name for model. Defaults to "brnn_model".
force_reset (bool, optional):
If set to True, any previously-existing model with the same name will be reset (all checkpoints will be
discarded). Defaults to True.
save_checkpoints (bool, optional):
Whether or not to automatically save the untrained model and checkpoints from training. Defaults to True.
Returns:
List[TimeSeries]
Adjusted Data series
List[TimeSeries]
Historical forecast by best RNN model
List[TimeSeries]
list of Predictions
Optional[float]
Mean average precision error
Any
Best transformer Model
"""
# TODO Check if torch GPU AVAILABLE
use_scalers = True
probabilistic = False
scaler, ticker_series = helpers.get_series(
data, target_column, is_scaler=use_scalers
)
train, val = ticker_series.split_before(train_split)
valid = helpers.check_data_length(
train, val, input_chunk_length, output_chunk_length
)
if not valid:
return [], [], [], None, None
(
past_covariate_whole,
past_covariate_train,
past_covariate_val,
) = helpers.past_covs(past_covariates, data, train_split, use_scalers)
trans_model = TransformerModel(
input_chunk_length=input_chunk_length,
output_chunk_length=output_chunk_length,
d_model=d_model,
nhead=nhead,
num_encoder_layers=num_encoder_layers,
num_decoder_layers=num_decoder_layers,
dim_feedforward=dim_feedforward,
activation=activation,
dropout=dropout,
batch_size=batch_size,
n_epochs=n_epochs,
optimizer_kwargs={"lr": learning_rate},
model_name=model_save_name,
random_state=42,
pl_trainer_kwargs=helpers.get_pl_kwargs(accelerator="cpu"),
force_reset=force_reset,
save_checkpoints=save_checkpoints,
)
# fit model on train series for historical forecasting
with warnings.catch_warnings():
warnings.simplefilter("ignore")
helpers.fit_model(
trans_model,
train,
val,
past_covariate_train,
past_covariate_val,
)
best_model = TransformerModel.load_from_checkpoint(
model_name=model_save_name, best=True
)
# Showing historical backtesting without retraining model (too slow)
return helpers.get_prediction(
"Transformer",
probabilistic,
use_scalers,
scaler,
past_covariates,
best_model,
ticker_series,
past_covariate_whole,
train_split,
forecast_horizon,
n_predict,
)