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https://github.com/OpenBB-finance/OpenBB.git
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Added risk indicators (#775)
* Added risk indicators * Fixed issues * Updated description * Moved to QA * Added website * Added website Co-authored-by: Colin Delahunty <colindelahunty@Colins-Air.indiana.edu>
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@@ -20,6 +20,9 @@ This menu aims to perform exploratory data analysis on a pre-loaded stock, and t
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* detects abrupt changes using cumulative sum algorithm
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* [acf](#acf)
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* (partial) auto-correlation function differentials
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* [capm](#capm)
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* capital asset pricing model
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## summary <a name="summary"></a>
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@@ -132,3 +135,15 @@ Auto-Correlation and Partial Auto-Correlation Functions for diff and diff diff s
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* -l : maximum lags to display in plots. Default 40.
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## capm <a name="capm"></a>
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```text
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usage: capm
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```
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Capital asset pricing model for a given stock.
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![capm]
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@@ -0,0 +1,78 @@
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"""Factors model"""
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__docformat__ = "numpy"
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from urllib.request import urlopen
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from zipfile import ZipFile
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from io import BytesIO
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import statsmodels.api as sm
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import yfinance as yf
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import pandas as pd
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import numpy as np
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def get_fama_raw():
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"""Gets base Fama French data to calculate risk"""
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with urlopen(
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"http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/ftp/F-F_Research_Data_Factors_CSV.zip"
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) as url:
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# Download Zipfile and create pandas DataFrame
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with ZipFile(BytesIO(url.read())) as zipfile:
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with zipfile.open("F-F_Research_Data_Factors.CSV") as zip_open:
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df = pd.read_csv(
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zip_open,
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header=0,
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names=["Date", "MKT-RF", "SMB", "HML", "RF"],
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skiprows=3,
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)
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df = df[df["Date"].apply(lambda x: len(str(x).strip()) == 6)]
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df["Date"] = df["Date"].astype(str) + "01"
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df["Date"] = pd.to_datetime(df["Date"], format="%Y%m%d")
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df["MKT-RF"] = pd.to_numeric(df["MKT-RF"], downcast="float")
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df["SMB"] = pd.to_numeric(df["SMB"], downcast="float")
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df["HML"] = pd.to_numeric(df["HML"], downcast="float")
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df["RF"] = pd.to_numeric(df["RF"], downcast="float")
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df["MKT-RF"] = df["MKT-RF"] / 100
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df["SMB"] = df["SMB"] / 100
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df["HML"] = df["HML"] / 100
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df["RF"] = df["RF"] / 100
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df = df.set_index("Date")
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return df
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def get_historical_5(ticker: str):
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"""Get 5 year monthly historical performance for a ticker with dividends filtered"""
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tick = yf.Ticker(ticker)
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df = tick.history(period="5y", interval="1mo")
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df = df[df.index.to_series().apply(lambda x: x.day == 1)]
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df = df.drop(["Dividends", "Stock Splits"], axis=1)
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df = df.dropna()
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return df
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def capm_information(ticker):
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"""Provides information that relates to the CAPM model"""
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df_f = get_fama_raw()
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df_h = get_historical_5(ticker)
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df = df_h.join(df_f)
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df = df.dropna()
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df["Monthly Return"] = df["Close"].pct_change()
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df["Excess Monthly Return"] = df["Monthly Return"] - df["RF"]
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df["Excess MKT-RF"] = df["MKT-RF"] - df["RF"]
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df = df.dropna()
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y = df[["Excess Monthly Return"]]
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x = df["Excess MKT-RF"]
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x = sm.add_constant(x)
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model = sm.OLS(y, x).fit()
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beta = model.params["Excess MKT-RF"]
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beta2 = beta ** 2
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m_variance = np.var(df["Excess MKT-RF"])
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syst = beta2 * m_variance
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ss = model.ssr
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deg_free = model.df_resid
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unsys = ss / deg_free
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sy = (syst / (syst + unsys)) * 100
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us = (unsys / (syst + unsys)) * 100
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return beta, m_variance, sy, us
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@@ -0,0 +1,15 @@
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"""Factors view"""
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__docformat__ = "numpy"
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from gamestonk_terminal.stocks.quantitative_analysis.factors_model import (
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capm_information,
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)
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def capm_view(ticker):
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"""A view that displays information for the CAPM model."""
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beta, m_variance, sy, us = capm_information(ticker)
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print(f"Beta:\t\t\t{beta:.2f}")
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print(f"Market Variance:\t{m_variance:.4f}")
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print(f"Systematic Risk:\t{sy:.2f}%")
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print(f"Unsystematic Risk:\t{us:.2f}%\n")
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@@ -24,6 +24,7 @@ from gamestonk_terminal.helper_funcs import (
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parse_known_args_and_warn,
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)
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from gamestonk_terminal.menu import session
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from gamestonk_terminal.stocks.quantitative_analysis.factors_view import capm_view
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class QaController:
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@@ -49,6 +50,7 @@ class QaController:
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"unitroot",
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"goodness",
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"unitroot",
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"capm",
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]
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CHOICES += CHOICES_COMMANDS
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@@ -116,6 +118,7 @@ Rolling Metrics:
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Other:
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decompose decomposition in cyclic-trend, season, and residuals of prices
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cusum detects abrupt changes using cumulative sum algorithm of prices
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capm capital asset pricing model
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"""
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print(help_str)
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@@ -768,6 +771,26 @@ Other:
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except Exception as e:
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print(e, "\n")
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def call_capm(self, other_args: List[str]):
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"""Process capm command"""
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parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
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add_help=False,
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formatter_class=argparse.ArgumentDefaultsHelpFormatter,
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prog="capm",
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description="""
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Provides detailed information about a stock's risk compared to the market risk.
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""",
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)
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try:
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ns_parser = parse_known_args_and_warn(parser, other_args)
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if not ns_parser:
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return
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capm_view(self.ticker)
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except Exception as e:
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print(e, "\n")
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def menu(ticker: str, start: datetime, interval: str, stock: pd.DataFrame):
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"""Statistics Menu"""
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@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
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"""Technical Analysis Controller Module"""
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__docformat__ = "numpy"
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# pylint:disable=too-many-lines
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# pylint:disable=R0904
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import argparse
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import os
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12
website/content/stocks/quantitative_analysis/capm/_index.md
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12
website/content/stocks/quantitative_analysis/capm/_index.md
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@@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
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```text
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usage: capm [-h]
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```
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Capital asset pricing model
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```
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optional arguments:
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-h, --help show this help message (default: False)
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```
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![capm]
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2
website/data/menu/main.yml
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2
website/data/menu/main.yml
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@@ -501,6 +501,8 @@ main:
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ref: "/stocks/quantitative_analysis/decompose"
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- name: cusum
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ref: "/stocks/quantitative_analysis/cusum"
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- name: capm
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ref: "/stocks/quantitative_analysis/capm"
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- name: prediction techniques
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ref: "/stocks/prediction_techniques"
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sub:
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