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Add Linear Regression model to prediction techniques menu
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66
prediction_techniques/lr.py
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66
prediction_techniques/lr.py
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import argparse
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import numpy as np
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from stock_market_helper_funcs import *
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import pandas as pd
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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from pandas.plotting import register_matplotlib_converters
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register_matplotlib_converters()
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from TimeSeriesCrossValidation import splitTrain
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from sklearn import linear_model
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# ----------------------------------------------------- LR -----------------------------------------------------
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def linear_regression(l_args, s_ticker, s_interval, df_stock):
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parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(prog='linear_regression',
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description="""Linear regression attempts to model the relationship between
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two variables by fitting a linear equation to observed data. One variable is
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considered to be an explanatory variable, and the other is considered to be a
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dependent variable. """)
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parser.add_argument('-i', "--input", action="store", dest="n_inputs", type=check_positive, default=40, help='number of days to use for prediction')
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parser.add_argument('-d', "--days", action="store", dest="n_days", type=check_positive, default=5, help='prediction days')
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parser.add_argument('-j', "--jumps", action="store", dest="n_jumps", type=check_non_negative, default=0, help='number of jumps in training data')
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try:
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(ns_parser, l_unknown_args) = parser.parse_known_args(l_args)
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if l_unknown_args:
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print(f"The following args couldn't be interpreted: {l_unknown_args}\n")
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return
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# Split training data
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stock_x, stock_y = splitTrain.split_train(df_stock['4. close'].values, ns_parser.n_inputs, ns_parser.n_days, ns_parser.n_jumps)
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# Machine Learning model
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lr = linear_model.LinearRegression(n_jobs=-1)
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lr.fit(stock_x, stock_y)
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# Prediction data
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l_predictions = lr.predict(df_stock['4. close'].values[-ns_parser.n_inputs:].reshape(1, -1))[0]
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l_pred_days = get_next_stock_market_days(last_stock_day=df_stock['4. close'].index[-1], n_next_days=ns_parser.n_days)
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df_pred = pd.Series(l_predictions, index=l_pred_days, name='Price')
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# Plotting
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plt.plot(df_stock.index, df_stock['4. close'], lw=2)
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plt.title(f"Linear Regression on {s_ticker} - {ns_parser.n_days} days prediction")
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plt.xlim(df_stock.index[0], get_next_stock_market_days(df_pred.index[-1], 1)[-1] )
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plt.xlabel('Time')
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plt.ylabel('Share Price ($)')
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plt.grid(b=True, which='major', color='#666666', linestyle='-')
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plt.minorticks_on()
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plt.grid(b=True, which='minor', color='#999999', linestyle='-', alpha=0.2)
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plt.plot([df_stock.index[-1], df_pred.index[0]], [df_stock['4. close'].values[-1], df_pred.values[0]], lw=1, c='tab:green', linestyle='--')
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plt.plot(df_pred.index, df_pred, lw=2, c='tab:green')
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cmap = plt.get_cmap("tab10")
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plt.axvspan(df_stock.index[-1], df_pred.index[-1], facecolor='tab:orange', alpha=0.2)
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xmin, xmax, ymin, ymax = plt.axis()
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plt.vlines(df_stock.index[-1], ymin, ymax, linewidth=1, linestyle='--', color='k')
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plt.show()
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# Print prediction data
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df_pred = df_pred.apply(lambda x: f"{x:.2f} $")
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print(df_pred.to_string())
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print("")
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except:
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print("")
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@@ -11,6 +11,7 @@ register_matplotlib_converters()
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from prediction_techniques import sma
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from prediction_techniques import knn
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from prediction_techniques import lr
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# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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def print_prediction(s_ticker, s_start, s_interval):
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@@ -30,6 +31,7 @@ def print_prediction(s_ticker, s_start, s_interval):
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print("")
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print(" sma simple moving average")
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print(" knn k-Nearest Neighbors")
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print(" lr linear regression")
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print("")
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@@ -39,7 +41,7 @@ def pred_menu(df_stock, s_ticker, s_start, s_interval):
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# Add list of arguments that the prediction techniques parser accepts
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pred_parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(prog='technical_analysis', add_help=False)
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pred_parser.add_argument('cmd', choices=['help', 'q', 'quit',
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'sma', 'knn'])
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'sma', 'knn', 'lr'])
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print_prediction(s_ticker, s_start, s_interval)
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@@ -75,6 +77,10 @@ def pred_menu(df_stock, s_ticker, s_start, s_interval):
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elif ns_known_args.cmd == 'knn':
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knn.k_nearest_neighbors(l_args, s_ticker, s_interval, df_stock)
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# --------------------------------------------- LINEAR REGRESSION ---------------------------------------------
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elif ns_known_args.cmd == 'lr':
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lr.linear_regression(l_args, s_ticker, s_interval, df_stock)
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# ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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else:
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print("Command not recognized!")
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