Add prediction to economy/fred (#1133)

This commit is contained in:
jmaslek
2022-01-04 14:10:40 -05:00
committed by GitHub
parent 8571336724
commit f5b0dc8e7b
23 changed files with 7731 additions and 116 deletions

View File

@@ -163,6 +163,9 @@ def display_exponential_smoothing(
linestyle="--",
color="k",
)
dateFmt = mdates.DateFormatter("%m/%d/%Y")
ax.xaxis.set_major_formatter(dateFmt)
ax.tick_params(axis="x", labelrotation=45)
# BACKTESTING
if s_end_date:

View File

@@ -25,6 +25,7 @@ def display_mc_forecast(
n_future: int,
n_sims: int,
use_log=True,
fig_title: str = "",
export: str = "",
time_res: str = "",
):
@@ -40,6 +41,8 @@ def display_mc_forecast(
Number of simulations to run
use_log : bool, optional
Flag to use lognormal, by default True
fig_title : str
Figure title
export: str
Format to export data
time_res : str
@@ -63,13 +66,14 @@ def display_mc_forecast(
ax[0].grid("on")
sns.histplot(predicted_values[-1, :], ax=ax[1], kde=True)
ax[1].set_xlabel("Price")
ax[1].set_xlabel("Final Value")
ax[1].axvline(x=data.values[-1], c="k", label="Last Value", lw=3, ls="-") # type: ignore
ax[1].set_title(f"Distribution of final values after {n_future} steps.")
ax[1].set_xlim(np.min(predicted_values[-1, :]), np.max(predicted_values[-1, :]))
ax[1].grid("on")
ax[1].legend()
if fig_title:
fig.suptitle(fig_title)
fig.tight_layout(pad=2)
if gtff.USE_ION:

View File

@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from pandas.plotting import register_matplotlib_converters
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import matplotlib.dates as mdates
from colorama import Fore, Style
from sklearn.metrics import (
mean_absolute_error,
@@ -413,8 +414,9 @@ def plot_data_predictions(
):
"""Plots data predictions for the different ML techniques"""
plt.figure(figsize=plot_autoscale(), dpi=PLOT_DPI)
plt.plot(
# plt.figure(figsize=plot_autoscale(), dpi=PLOT_DPI)
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=plot_autoscale(), dpi=PLOT_DPI)
ax.plot(
data.index,
data.values,
"-ob",
@@ -430,13 +432,13 @@ def plot_data_predictions(
else:
y_pred = preds[i].ravel()
y_act = y_valid[i].ravel()
plt.plot(
ax.plot(
y_dates_valid[i],
y_pred,
"r",
lw=1,
)
plt.fill_between(
ax.fill_between(
y_dates_valid[i],
y_pred,
y_act,
@@ -444,7 +446,7 @@ def plot_data_predictions(
color="r",
alpha=0.2,
)
plt.fill_between(
ax.fill_between(
y_dates_valid[i],
y_pred,
y_act,
@@ -460,14 +462,14 @@ def plot_data_predictions(
else:
final_pred = preds[-1].reshape(-1, 1).ravel()
final_valid = y_valid[-1].reshape(-1, 1).ravel()
plt.plot(
ax.plot(
y_dates_valid[-1],
final_pred,
"r",
lw=2,
label="Predictions",
)
plt.fill_between(
ax.fill_between(
y_dates_valid[-1],
final_pred,
final_valid,
@@ -476,7 +478,7 @@ def plot_data_predictions(
)
_, _, ymin, ymax = plt.axis()
plt.vlines(
ax.vlines(
forecast_data.index[0],
ymin,
ymax,
@@ -486,7 +488,7 @@ def plot_data_predictions(
color="k",
)
if n_loops == 1:
plt.plot(
ax.plot(
forecast_data.index,
forecast_data.values,
"-og",
@@ -494,14 +496,14 @@ def plot_data_predictions(
label="Forecast",
)
else:
plt.plot(
ax.plot(
forecast_data.index,
forecast_data.median(axis=1).values,
"-og",
ms=3,
label="Forecast",
)
plt.fill_between(
ax.fill_between(
forecast_data.index,
forecast_data.quantile(0.25, axis=1).values,
forecast_data.quantile(0.75, axis=1).values,
@@ -510,28 +512,32 @@ def plot_data_predictions(
)
# Subtracting 1 day only works nicely for daily data. For now if not daily, then start line on last point
if not time_str or time_str == "1D":
plt.axvspan(
ax.axvspan(
forecast_data.index[0] - timedelta(days=1),
forecast_data.index[-1],
facecolor="tab:orange",
alpha=0.2,
)
plt.xlim(data.index[0], forecast_data.index[-1] + timedelta(days=1))
ax.set_xlim(data.index[0], forecast_data.index[-1] + timedelta(days=1))
else:
plt.axvspan(
ax.axvspan(
forecast_data.index[0],
forecast_data.index[-1],
facecolor="tab:orange",
alpha=0.2,
)
plt.xlim(data.index[0], forecast_data.index[-1])
ax.set_xlim(data.index[0], forecast_data.index[-1])
plt.legend(loc=0)
plt.xlabel("Time")
plt.ylabel("Value")
plt.grid(b=True, which="major", color="#666666", linestyle="-")
plt.title(title)
ax.legend(loc=0)
ax.set_xlabel("Time")
ax.set_ylabel("Value")
ax.grid(b=True, which="major", color="#666666", linestyle="-")
dateFmt = mdates.DateFormatter("%m/%d/%Y")
ax.xaxis.set_major_formatter(dateFmt)
ax.tick_params(axis="x", labelrotation=45)
fig.suptitle(title)
fig.tight_layout(pad=2)
if gtff.USE_ION:
plt.ion()
plt.show()

View File

@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ from datetime import datetime, timedelta
import os
from typing import List, Union
from rich.console import Console
import pandas as pd
from prompt_toolkit.completion import NestedCompleter
@@ -31,6 +32,7 @@ from gamestonk_terminal.helper_funcs import (
)
from gamestonk_terminal.menu import session
t_console = Console()
# pylint: disable=R1710,R0904,C0415
@@ -226,7 +228,7 @@ NASDAQ DataLink (formerly Quandl):
> fred Federal Reserve Economic Data submenu
"""
print(help_text)
t_console.print(help_text)
def switch(self, an_input: str):
"""Process and dispatch input
@@ -238,7 +240,7 @@ NASDAQ DataLink (formerly Quandl):
"""
# Empty command
if not an_input:
print("")
t_console.print("")
return self.queue
# Navigation slash is being used
@@ -290,7 +292,6 @@ NASDAQ DataLink (formerly Quandl):
def call_quit(self, _):
"""Process quit menu command"""
print("")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
def call_exit(self, _):
@@ -1137,7 +1138,9 @@ NASDAQ DataLink (formerly Quandl):
file = os.path.join(
os.path.dirname(__file__), "NASDAQ_CountryCodes.csv"
)
print(pd.read_csv(file, index_col=0).to_string(index=False), "\n")
t_console.print(
pd.read_csv(file, index_col=0).to_string(index=False), "\n"
)
else:
nasdaq_view.display_big_mac_index(
country_codes=ns_parser.countries,
@@ -1162,7 +1165,7 @@ def menu(queue: List[str] = None):
if econ_controller.queue and len(econ_controller.queue) > 0:
# If the command is quitting the menu we want to return in here
if econ_controller.queue[0] in ("q", "..", "quit"):
print("")
t_console.print("")
if len(econ_controller.queue) > 1:
return econ_controller.queue[1:]
return []
@@ -1173,7 +1176,7 @@ def menu(queue: List[str] = None):
# Print the current location because this was an instruction and we want user to know what was the action
if an_input and an_input.split(" ")[0] in econ_controller.CHOICES_COMMANDS:
print(f"{get_flair()} /economy/ $ {an_input}")
t_console.print(f"{get_flair()} /economy/ $ {an_input}")
# Get input command from user
else:
@@ -1201,7 +1204,7 @@ def menu(queue: List[str] = None):
econ_controller.queue = econ_controller.switch(an_input)
except SystemExit:
print(
t_console.print(
f"\nThe command '{an_input}' doesn't exist on the /economy menu.",
end="",
)
@@ -1219,13 +1222,13 @@ def menu(queue: List[str] = None):
if candidate_input == an_input:
an_input = ""
econ_controller.queue = []
print("\n")
t_console.print("")
continue
an_input = candidate_input
else:
an_input = similar_cmd[0]
print(f" Replacing by '{an_input}'.")
t_console.print(f" Replacing by '{an_input}'.")
econ_controller.queue.insert(0, an_input)
else:
print("\n")
t_console.print("")

View File

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ import argparse
import difflib
from typing import List, Union, Dict
from colorama import Style
from rich.console import Console
from prompt_toolkit.completion import NestedCompleter
from gamestonk_terminal import feature_flags as gtff
@@ -21,6 +21,10 @@ from gamestonk_terminal.helper_funcs import (
)
from gamestonk_terminal.menu import session
t_console = Console()
# pylint:disable=import-outside-toplevel
class FredController:
"""FRED Controller Class"""
@@ -41,8 +45,9 @@ class FredController:
]
CHOICES_COMMANDS = ["search", "add", "rmv", "plot"]
CHOICES_MENUS = ["pred"]
CHOICES += CHOICES_COMMANDS
CHOICES += CHOICES_COMMANDS + CHOICES_MENUS
def __init__(self, queue: List[str] = None):
"""Constructor"""
@@ -52,7 +57,7 @@ class FredController:
choices=self.CHOICES,
)
self.current_series: Dict = dict()
self.current_long_id = 0
self.long_id = 0
self.completer: Union[None, NestedCompleter] = None
@@ -70,17 +75,24 @@ class FredController:
"""Print help"""
id_string = ""
for s_id, sub_dict in self.current_series.items():
id_string += f" {s_id.upper()}{(self.current_long_id-len(s_id)) * ' '} : {sub_dict['title']}\n"
id_string += (
f" [blue]{s_id.upper()}{(self.long_id-len(s_id)) * ' '}[/blue] :"
f" [italic]{sub_dict['title']}[/italic]\n"
)
if not id_string:
id_string += " [bold][red]None[/red][/bold]\n"
help_text = f"""
search search FRED series notes
add add series ID to list
rmv remove series ID from list
Current Series IDs:
{id_string}{Style.DIM if not self.current_series else ""}
plot plot selected series {Style.RESET_ALL}
{id_string}{'[dim]'if not self.current_series else ""}
plot plot selected series {'[/dim]'if not self.current_series else ""}
{'[dim]'if len(self.current_series.keys())!=1 else ""}
> pred prediction techniques (single SeriesID){'[/dim]'if len(self.current_series.keys())!=1 else ""}
"""
print(help_text)
t_console.print(help_text)
def switch(self, an_input: str):
"""Process and dispatch input
@@ -92,7 +104,7 @@ Current Series IDs:
"""
# Empty command
if not an_input:
print("")
t_console.print("\n")
return self.queue
# Navigation slash is being used
@@ -145,13 +157,9 @@ Current Series IDs:
def call_quit(self, _):
"""Process quit menu command"""
print("")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
return ["quit"]
def call_exit(self, _):
print("")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
@@ -230,10 +238,12 @@ Current Series IDs:
"title": information["seriess"][0]["title"],
"units": information["seriess"][0]["units_short"],
}
self.current_long_id = max(self.current_long_id, len(s_id))
self.long_id = max(self.long_id, len(s_id))
else:
t_console.print(f"[red]{s_id} not found[/red].")
print(
f"Current Series: {', '.join(self.current_series.keys()) .upper() or None}\n"
t_console.print(
f"Current Series:[blue] {', '.join(self.current_series.keys()) .upper() or None}[/blue]\n"
)
@try_except
@@ -255,7 +265,7 @@ Current Series IDs:
parser.add_argument(
"-i",
"--id",
type=str,
type=lambda x: x.lower(),
choices=self.current_series.keys(),
required="-h" not in other_args
and "-a" not in other_args
@@ -277,12 +287,12 @@ Current Series IDs:
if ns_parser:
if ns_parser.all:
self.current_series = {}
self.current_long_id = 0
print("")
self.long_id = 0
t_console.print("")
self.current_series.pop(ns_parser.series_id)
print(
f"Current Series Ids: {', '.join(self.current_series.keys()) or None}\n"
t_console.print(
f"Current Series Ids: [blue]{', '.join(self.current_series.keys()) or None}[/blue]\n"
)
@try_except
@@ -307,6 +317,14 @@ Current Series IDs:
action="store_true",
default=False,
)
parser.add_argument(
"-l",
"--lim",
dest="limit",
help="Number of rows to show for limit",
type=check_positive,
default=10,
)
ns_parser = parse_known_args_and_warn(
parser, other_args, export_allowed=EXPORT_BOTH_RAW_DATA_AND_FIGURES
@@ -317,8 +335,22 @@ Current Series IDs:
ns_parser.start_date,
ns_parser.raw,
ns_parser.export,
ns_parser.LIMIT,
)
@try_except
def call_pred(self, _):
"""Process pred command"""
if not self.current_series:
t_console.print("Please select 1 Series to use.\n")
return
if len(self.current_series.keys()) != 1:
t_console.print("Only 1 Series can be input into prediction.\n")
return
from gamestonk_terminal.economy.fred.prediction import pred_controller
self.queue = pred_controller.menu(self.current_series, self.queue)
def menu(queue: List[str] = None):
"""Fred Menu"""
@@ -330,7 +362,7 @@ def menu(queue: List[str] = None):
if fred_controller.queue and len(fred_controller.queue) > 0:
# If the command is quitting the menu we want to return in here
if fred_controller.queue[0] in ("q", "..", "quit"):
print("")
t_console.print("")
if len(fred_controller.queue) > 1:
return fred_controller.queue[1:]
return []
@@ -341,7 +373,7 @@ def menu(queue: List[str] = None):
# Print the current location because this was an instruction and we want user to know what was the action
if an_input and an_input.split(" ")[0] in fred_controller.CHOICES_COMMANDS:
print(f"{get_flair()} /economy/fred/ $ {an_input}")
t_console.print(f"{get_flair()} /economy/fred/ $ {an_input}")
# Get input command from user
else:
@@ -369,7 +401,7 @@ def menu(queue: List[str] = None):
fred_controller.queue = fred_controller.switch(an_input)
except SystemExit:
print(
t_console.print(
f"\nThe command '{an_input}' doesn't exist on the /economy/fred menu.",
end="",
)
@@ -387,13 +419,13 @@ def menu(queue: List[str] = None):
if candidate_input == an_input:
an_input = ""
fred_controller.queue = []
print("\n")
t_console.print("\n")
continue
an_input = candidate_input
else:
an_input = similar_cmd[0]
print(f" Replacing by '{an_input}'.")
t_console.print(f" Replacing by '{an_input}'.")
fred_controller.queue.insert(0, an_input)
else:
print("\n")
t_console.print("\n")

View File

@@ -8,15 +8,21 @@ import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
from pandas.plotting import register_matplotlib_converters
from tabulate import tabulate
from rich.console import Console
from gamestonk_terminal import feature_flags as gtff
from gamestonk_terminal.config_plot import PLOT_DPI
from gamestonk_terminal.economy.fred import fred_model
from gamestonk_terminal.helper_funcs import export_data, plot_autoscale
from gamestonk_terminal.helper_funcs import (
export_data,
plot_autoscale,
rich_table_from_df,
)
register_matplotlib_converters()
t_console = Console()
def format_units(num: int) -> str:
"""Helper to format number into string with K,M,B,T. Number will be in form of 10^n"""
@@ -45,7 +51,7 @@ def notes(series_term: str, num: int):
"""
df_search = fred_model.get_series_notes(series_term)
if df_search.empty:
print("No matches found. \n")
t_console.print("No matches found. \n")
return
df_search["notes"] = df_search["notes"].apply(
lambda x: "\n".join(textwrap.wrap(x, width=100)) if isinstance(x, str) else x
@@ -54,17 +60,19 @@ def notes(series_term: str, num: int):
lambda x: "\n".join(textwrap.wrap(x, width=50)) if isinstance(x, str) else x
)
if gtff.USE_TABULATE_DF:
print(
tabulate(
t_console.print(
rich_table_from_df(
df_search[["id", "title", "notes"]].head(num),
tablefmt="fancy_grid",
title=f"[bold]Search results for {series_term}[/bold]",
show_index=False,
headers=["Series ID", "Title", "Description"],
showindex=False,
)
)
else:
print(df_search[["id", "title", "notes"]].head(num).to_string(index=False))
print("")
t_console.print(
df_search[["id", "title", "notes"]].head(num).to_string(index=False)
)
t_console.print("")
def display_fred_series(
@@ -72,6 +80,7 @@ def display_fred_series(
start_date: str,
raw: bool = False,
export: str = "",
limit: int = 10,
):
"""Display (multiple) series from https://fred.stlouisfed.org. [Source: FRED]
@@ -85,6 +94,8 @@ def display_fred_series(
Output only raw data
export : str
Export data to csv,json,xlsx or png,jpg,pdf,svg file
limit: int
Number of raw data rows to show
"""
series_ids = list(d_series.keys())
data = pd.DataFrame()
@@ -99,7 +110,7 @@ def display_fred_series(
],
axis=1,
)
data = data.dropna()
# Try to get everything onto the same 0-10 scale.
# To do so, think in scientific notation. Divide the data by whatever the E would be
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=plot_autoscale(), dpi=PLOT_DPI)
@@ -131,15 +142,23 @@ def display_fred_series(
plt.gcf().autofmt_xdate()
fig.tight_layout()
plt.show()
data.index = [x.strftime("%Y-%m-%d") for x in data.index]
if raw:
if gtff.USE_TABULATE_DF:
print(tabulate(data.tail(20), headers=data.columns, tablefmt="fancy_grid"))
t_console.print(
rich_table_from_df(
data.tail(limit),
headers=list(data.columns),
show_index=True,
index_name="Date",
)
)
else:
print(data.tail(20).to_string())
t_console.print(data.tail(limit).to_string())
export_data(
export,
os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__)),
"plot",
data,
)
print("")
t_console.print("")

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,947 @@
"""Fred Series Prediction Controller"""
__docformat__ = "numpy"
import argparse
import difflib
from typing import List, Union, Dict
import logging
from prompt_toolkit.completion import NestedCompleter
from rich.console import Console
from gamestonk_terminal import feature_flags as gtff
from gamestonk_terminal.helper_funcs import (
get_flair,
parse_known_args_and_warn,
check_positive,
valid_date,
get_next_stock_market_days,
EXPORT_ONLY_FIGURES_ALLOWED,
try_except,
system_clear,
)
from gamestonk_terminal.menu import session
from gamestonk_terminal.common.prediction_techniques import (
arima_model,
arima_view,
ets_model,
ets_view,
knn_view,
mc_model,
neural_networks_view,
regression_view,
pred_helper,
mc_view,
)
from gamestonk_terminal.economy.fred import fred_model
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
t_console = Console()
class PredictionTechniquesController:
"""Prediction Techniques Controller class"""
# Command choices
CHOICES = [
"cls",
"home",
"h",
"?",
"help",
"q",
"quit",
"..",
"exit",
"r",
"reset",
]
CHOICES_COMMANDS = [
"load",
"ets",
"knn",
"regression",
"arima",
"mlp",
"rnn",
"lstm",
"conv1d",
"mc",
]
CHOICES += CHOICES_COMMANDS
def __init__(
self,
current_series: Dict,
queue: List[str] = None,
):
"""Constructor"""
self.pred_parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(add_help=False, prog="pred")
self.pred_parser.add_argument(
"cmd",
choices=self.CHOICES,
)
self.start_date = "2020-01-01"
self.current_series = current_series
self.current_id = list(current_series.keys())[0].upper()
self.data = fred_model.get_series_data(
list(current_series.keys())[0], self.start_date
).dropna()
self.resolution = "" # For the views
self.completer: Union[None, NestedCompleter] = None
if session and gtff.USE_PROMPT_TOOLKIT:
choices: dict = {c: {} for c in self.CHOICES}
choices["ets"]["-t"] = {c: {} for c in ets_model.TRENDS}
choices["ets"]["-s"] = {c: {} for c in ets_model.SEASONS}
choices["arima"]["-i"] = {c: {} for c in arima_model.ICS}
choices["mc"]["--dist"] = {c: {} for c in mc_model.DISTRIBUTIONS}
self.completer = NestedCompleter.from_nested_dict(choices)
if queue:
self.queue = queue
else:
self.queue = list()
def print_help(self):
"""Print help"""
id_string = ""
for s_id, sub_dict in self.current_series.items():
id_string += f" [cyan]{s_id.upper()}[/cyan] : {sub_dict['title']}"
help_string = f"""
Prediction Techniques Menu:
load load new series
Selected Series (starting from [green]{self.start_date}[/green]):
{id_string}
Models:
ets exponential smoothing (e.g. Holt-Winters)
knn k-Nearest Neighbors
regression polynomial regression
arima autoregressive integrated moving average
mlp MultiLayer Perceptron
rnn Recurrent Neural Network
lstm Long-Short Term Memory
conv1d 1D Convolutional Neural Network
mc Monte-Carlo simulations
"""
t_console.print(help_string)
def switch(self, an_input: str):
"""Process and dispatch input
Parameters
-------
an_input : str
string with input arguments
Returns
-------
List[str]
List of commands in the queue to execute
"""
# Empty command
if not an_input:
t_console.print("")
return self.queue
# Navigation slash is being used
if "/" in an_input:
actions = an_input.split("/")
# Absolute path is specified
if not actions[0]:
an_input = "home"
# Relative path so execute first instruction
else:
an_input = actions[0]
# Add all instructions to the queue
for cmd in actions[1:][::-1]:
if cmd:
self.queue.insert(0, cmd)
(known_args, other_args) = self.pred_parser.parse_known_args(an_input.split())
# Redirect commands to their correct functions
if known_args.cmd:
if known_args.cmd in ("..", "q"):
known_args.cmd = "quit"
elif known_args.cmd in ("?", "h"):
known_args.cmd = "help"
elif known_args.cmd == "r":
known_args.cmd = "reset"
getattr(
self,
"call_" + known_args.cmd,
lambda _: "Command not recognized!",
)(other_args)
return self.queue
def call_cls(self, _):
"""Process cls command"""
system_clear()
def call_home(self, _):
"""Process home command"""
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
def call_help(self, _):
"""Process help command"""
self.print_help()
def call_quit(self, _):
"""Process quit menu command"""
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
def call_exit(self, _):
"""Process exit terminal command"""
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
def call_reset(self, _):
"""Process reset command"""
self.queue.insert(0, "pred")
if self.current_series:
self.queue.insert(0, f"add {list(self.current_series.keys())[0]}")
self.queue.insert(0, "fred")
self.queue.insert(0, "economy")
self.queue.insert(0, "reset")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
self.queue.insert(0, "quit")
@try_except
def call_load(self, other_args: List[str]):
"""Process add command"""
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
add_help=False,
prog="load",
description="Load a FRED series to current selection",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-i",
"--id",
dest="series_id",
required="-h" not in other_args,
type=str,
help="FRED Series from https://fred.stlouisfed.org. For multiple series use: series1,series2,series3",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-s",
dest="start_date",
type=valid_date,
default=self.start_date,
help="Starting date (YYYY-MM-DD) of data",
)
if other_args and "-" not in other_args[0][0]:
other_args.insert(0, "-i")
ns_parser = parse_known_args_and_warn(parser, other_args)
if ns_parser:
self.current_series = {}
exists, information = fred_model.check_series_id(ns_parser.series_id)
if exists:
self.current_series[ns_parser.series_id] = {
"title": information["seriess"][0]["title"],
"units": information["seriess"][0]["units_short"],
}
self.start_date = ns_parser.start_date
self.current_id = ns_parser.series_id.upper()
self.data = fred_model.get_series_data(
ns_parser.series_id, ns_parser.start_date
).dropna()
else:
t_console.print(f"[red]{ns_parser.series_id} not found[/red].")
t_console.print(
f"Current Series: {', '.join(self.current_series.keys()).upper() or None}\n"
)
@try_except
def call_ets(self, other_args: List[str]):
"""Process ets command"""
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
add_help=False,
formatter_class=argparse.ArgumentDefaultsHelpFormatter,
prog="ets",
description="""
Exponential Smoothing, see https://otexts.com/fpp2/taxonomy.html
Trend='N', Seasonal='N': Simple Exponential Smoothing
Trend='N', Seasonal='A': Exponential Smoothing
Trend='N', Seasonal='M': Exponential Smoothing
Trend='A', Seasonal='N': Holt’s linear method
Trend='A', Seasonal='A': Additive Holt-Winters’ method
Trend='A', Seasonal='M': Multiplicative Holt-Winters’ method
Trend='Ad', Seasonal='N': Additive damped trend method
Trend='Ad', Seasonal='A': Exponential Smoothing
Trend='Ad', Seasonal='M': Holt-Winters’ damped method
Trend component: N: None, A: Additive, Ad: Additive Damped
Seasonality component: N: None, A: Additive, M: Multiplicative
""",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-d",
"--days",
action="store",
dest="n_days",
type=check_positive,
default=5,
help="prediction days.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-t",
"--trend",
action="store",
dest="trend",
choices=ets_model.TRENDS,
default="N",
help="Trend component: N: None, A: Additive, Ad: Additive Damped.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-s",
"--seasonal",
action="store",
dest="seasonal",
choices=ets_model.SEASONS,
default="N",
help="Seasonality component: N: None, A: Additive, M: Multiplicative.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-p",
"--periods",
action="store",
dest="seasonal_periods",
type=check_positive,
default=5,
help="Seasonal periods.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-e",
"--end",
action="store",
type=valid_date,
dest="s_end_date",
default=None,
help="The end date (format YYYY-MM-DD) to select - Backtesting",
)
ns_parser = parse_known_args_and_warn(
parser, other_args, export_allowed=EXPORT_ONLY_FIGURES_ALLOWED
)
if ns_parser:
if ns_parser.s_end_date:
if ns_parser.s_end_date < self.data.index[0]:
t_console.print(
"Backtesting not allowed, since End Date is older than Start Date of historical data\n"
)
if ns_parser.s_end_date < get_next_stock_market_days(
last_stock_day=self.data.index[0],
n_next_days=5 + ns_parser.n_days,
)[-1]:
t_console.print(
"Backtesting not allowed, since End Date is too close to Start Date to train model\n"
)
ets_view.display_exponential_smoothing(
ticker=self.current_id,
values=self.data,
n_predict=ns_parser.n_days,
trend=ns_parser.trend,
seasonal=ns_parser.seasonal,
seasonal_periods=ns_parser.seasonal_periods,
s_end_date=ns_parser.s_end_date,
export=ns_parser.export,
time_res=self.resolution,
)
@try_except
def call_knn(self, other_args: List[str]):
"""Process knn command"""
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
add_help=False,
formatter_class=argparse.ArgumentDefaultsHelpFormatter,
prog="knn",
description="""
K nearest neighbors is a simple algorithm that stores all
available cases and predict the numerical target based on a similarity measure
(e.g. distance functions).
""",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-i",
"--input",
action="store",
dest="n_inputs",
type=check_positive,
default=40,
help="number of days to use as input for prediction.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-d",
"--days",
action="store",
dest="n_days",
type=check_positive,
default=5,
help="prediction days.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-j",
"--jumps",
action="store",
dest="n_jumps",
type=check_positive,
default=1,
help="number of jumps in training data.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-n",
"--neighbors",
action="store",
dest="n_neighbors",
type=check_positive,
default=20,
help="number of neighbors to use on the algorithm.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-e",
"--end",
action="store",
type=valid_date,
dest="s_end_date",
default=None,
help="The end date (format YYYY-MM-DD) to select for testing",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-t",
"--test_size",
default=0.2,
dest="valid_split",
type=float,
help="Percentage of data to validate in sample",
)
parser.add_argument(
"--no_shuffle",
action="store_false",
dest="no_shuffle",
default=True,
help="Specify if shuffling validation inputs.",
)
ns_parser = parse_known_args_and_warn(
parser, other_args, EXPORT_ONLY_FIGURES_ALLOWED
)
if ns_parser:
if ns_parser.n_inputs > len(self.data):
t_console.print(
f"[red]Data only contains {len(self.data)} samples and the model is trying "
f"to use {ns_parser.n_inputs} inputs. Either use less inputs or load with"
f" an earlier start date[/red]\n"
)
return
try:
knn_view.display_k_nearest_neighbors(
ticker=self.current_id,
data=self.data,
n_neighbors=ns_parser.n_neighbors,
n_input_days=ns_parser.n_inputs,
n_predict_days=ns_parser.n_days,
test_size=ns_parser.valid_split,
end_date=ns_parser.s_end_date,
no_shuffle=ns_parser.no_shuffle,
time_res=self.resolution,
)
except ValueError:
t_console.print("The loaded data does not have enough data")
@try_except
def call_regression(self, other_args: List[str]):
"""Process linear command"""
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
add_help=False,
prog="regression",
description="""
Regression attempts to model the relationship between
two variables by fitting a linear/quadratic/cubic/other equation to
observed data. One variable is considered to be an explanatory variable,
and the other is considered to be a dependent variable.
""",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-i",
"--input",
action="store",
dest="n_inputs",
type=check_positive,
default=40,
help="number of days to use for prediction.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-d",
"--days",
action="store",
dest="n_days",
type=check_positive,
default=5,
help="prediction days.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-j",
"--jumps",
action="store",
dest="n_jumps",
type=check_positive,
default=1,
help="number of jumps in training data.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-e",
"--end",
action="store",
type=valid_date,
dest="s_end_date",
default=None,
help="The end date (format YYYY-MM-DD) to select - Backtesting",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-p",
"--polynomial",
action="store",
dest="n_polynomial",
type=check_positive,
default=1,
help="polynomial associated with regression.",
)
if (
other_args
and "-h" not in other_args
and ("-p" not in other_args or "--polynomial" not in other_args)
):
other_args.insert(0, "-p")
ns_parser = parse_known_args_and_warn(
parser, other_args, export_allowed=EXPORT_ONLY_FIGURES_ALLOWED
)
if ns_parser:
# BACKTESTING CHECK
if ns_parser.s_end_date:
if ns_parser.s_end_date < self.data.index[0]:
t_console.print(
"Backtesting not allowed, since End Date is older than Start Date of historical data\n"
)
return
if ns_parser.s_end_date < get_next_stock_market_days(
last_stock_day=self.data.index[0],
n_next_days=5 + ns_parser.n_days,
)[-1]:
t_console.print(
"Backtesting not allowed, since End Date is too close to Start Date to train model\n"
)
return
try:
if ns_parser.n_inputs > len(self.data):
t_console.print(
f"[red]Data only contains {len(self.data)} samples and the model is trying "
f"to use {ns_parser.n_inputs} inputs. Either use less inputs or load with"
f" an earlier start date[/red]\n"
)
return
regression_view.display_regression(
dataset=self.current_id,
values=self.data,
poly_order=ns_parser.n_polynomial,
n_input=ns_parser.n_inputs,
n_predict=ns_parser.n_days,
n_jumps=ns_parser.n_jumps,
s_end_date=ns_parser.s_end_date,
export=ns_parser.export,
time_res=self.resolution,
)
except ValueError as e:
t_console.print(e)
@try_except
def call_arima(self, other_args: List[str]):
"""Process arima command"""
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
add_help=False,
formatter_class=argparse.ArgumentDefaultsHelpFormatter,
prog="arima",
description="""
In statistics and econometrics, and in particular in time series analysis, an
autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model is a generalization of an
autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model. Both of these models are fitted to time
series data either to better understand the data or to predict future points in the
series (forecasting). ARIMA(p,d,q) where parameters p, d, and q are non-negative
integers, p is the order (number of time lags) of the autoregressive model, d is the
degree of differencing (the number of times the data have had past values subtracted),
and q is the order of the moving-average model.
""",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-d",
"--days",
action="store",
dest="n_days",
type=check_positive,
default=5,
help="prediction days.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-i",
"--ic",
action="store",
dest="s_ic",
type=str,
default="aic",
choices=arima_model.ICS,
help="information criteria.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-s",
"--seasonal",
action="store_true",
default=False,
dest="b_seasonal",
help="Use weekly seasonal data.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-o",
"--order",
action="store",
dest="s_order",
default="",
type=str,
help="arima model order (p,d,q) in format: p,d,q.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-r",
"--results",
action="store_true",
dest="b_results",
default=False,
help="results about ARIMA summary flag.",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-e",
"--end",
action="store",
type=valid_date,
dest="s_end_date",
default=None,
help="The end date (format YYYY-MM-DD) to select - Backtesting",
)
ns_parser = parse_known_args_and_warn(
parser, other_args, export_allowed=EXPORT_ONLY_FIGURES_ALLOWED
)
if ns_parser:
# BACKTESTING CHECK
if ns_parser.s_end_date:
if ns_parser.s_end_date < self.data.index[0]:
t_console.print(
"Backtesting not allowed, since End Date is older than Start Date of historical data\n"
)
return
if ns_parser.s_end_date < get_next_stock_market_days(
last_stock_day=self.data.index[0],
n_next_days=5 + ns_parser.n_days,
)[-1]:
t_console.print(
"Backtesting not allowed, since End Date is too close to Start Date to train model\n"
)
return
arima_view.display_arima(
dataset=self.current_id,
values=self.data,
arima_order=ns_parser.s_order,
n_predict=ns_parser.n_days,
seasonal=ns_parser.b_seasonal,
ic=ns_parser.s_ic,
results=ns_parser.b_results,
s_end_date=ns_parser.s_end_date,
export=ns_parser.export,
time_res=self.resolution,
)
@try_except
def call_mlp(self, other_args: List[str]):
"""Process mlp command"""
try:
ns_parser = pred_helper.parse_args(
prog="mlp",
description="""Multi-Layered-Perceptron. """,
other_args=other_args,
)
if ns_parser:
if ns_parser.n_inputs > len(self.data):
t_console.print(
f"[red]Data only contains {len(self.data)} samples and the model is trying "
f"to use {ns_parser.n_inputs} inputs. Either use less inputs or load with"
f" an earlier start date[/red]\n"
)
return
neural_networks_view.display_mlp(
dataset=self.current_id,
data=self.data,
n_input_days=ns_parser.n_inputs,
n_predict_days=ns_parser.n_days,
learning_rate=ns_parser.lr,
epochs=ns_parser.n_epochs,
batch_size=ns_parser.n_batch_size,
test_size=ns_parser.valid_split,
n_loops=ns_parser.n_loops,
no_shuffle=ns_parser.no_shuffle,
time_res=self.resolution,
)
except Exception as e:
t_console.print(e, "\n")
finally:
pred_helper.restore_env()
def call_rnn(self, other_args: List[str]):
"""Process rnn command"""
try:
ns_parser = pred_helper.parse_args(
prog="rnn",
description="""Recurrent Neural Network. """,
other_args=other_args,
)
if ns_parser:
if ns_parser.n_inputs > len(self.data):
t_console.print(
f"[red]Data only contains {len(self.data)} samples and the model is trying "
f"to use {ns_parser.n_inputs} inputs. Either use less inputs or load with"
f" an earlier start date[/red]\n"
)
return
neural_networks_view.display_rnn(
dataset=self.current_id,
data=self.data,
n_input_days=ns_parser.n_inputs,
n_predict_days=ns_parser.n_days,
learning_rate=ns_parser.lr,
epochs=ns_parser.n_epochs,
batch_size=ns_parser.n_batch_size,
test_size=ns_parser.valid_split,
n_loops=ns_parser.n_loops,
no_shuffle=ns_parser.no_shuffle,
time_res=self.resolution,
)
except Exception as e:
t_console.print(e)
finally:
pred_helper.restore_env()
def call_lstm(self, other_args: List[str]):
"""Process lstm command"""
try:
ns_parser = pred_helper.parse_args(
prog="lstm",
description="""Long-Short Term Memory. """,
other_args=other_args,
)
if ns_parser:
if ns_parser.n_inputs > len(self.data):
t_console.print(
f"[red]Data only contains {len(self.data)} samples and the model is trying "
f"to use {ns_parser.n_inputs} inputs. Either use less inputs or load with"
f" an earlier start date[/red]\n"
)
return
neural_networks_view.display_lstm(
dataset=self.current_id,
data=self.data,
n_input_days=ns_parser.n_inputs,
n_predict_days=ns_parser.n_days,
learning_rate=ns_parser.lr,
epochs=ns_parser.n_epochs,
batch_size=ns_parser.n_batch_size,
test_size=ns_parser.valid_split,
n_loops=ns_parser.n_loops,
no_shuffle=ns_parser.no_shuffle,
time_res=self.resolution,
)
except Exception as e:
t_console.print(e, "\n")
finally:
pred_helper.restore_env()
def call_conv1d(self, other_args: List[str]):
"""Process conv1d command"""
try:
ns_parser = pred_helper.parse_args(
prog="conv1d",
description="""1D CNN.""",
other_args=other_args,
)
if ns_parser:
if ns_parser.n_inputs > len(self.data):
t_console.print(
f"[red]Data only contains {len(self.data)} samples and the model is trying "
f"to use {ns_parser.n_inputs} inputs. Either use less inputs or load with"
f" an earlier start date[/red]\n"
)
return
neural_networks_view.display_conv1d(
dataset=self.current_id,
data=self.data,
n_input_days=ns_parser.n_inputs,
n_predict_days=ns_parser.n_days,
learning_rate=ns_parser.lr,
epochs=ns_parser.n_epochs,
batch_size=ns_parser.n_batch_size,
test_size=ns_parser.valid_split,
n_loops=ns_parser.n_loops,
no_shuffle=ns_parser.no_shuffle,
time_res=self.resolution,
)
except Exception as e:
t_console.print(e, "\n")
finally:
pred_helper.restore_env()
@try_except
def call_mc(self, other_args: List[str]):
"""Process mc command"""
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
formatter_class=argparse.ArgumentDefaultsHelpFormatter,
add_help=False,
prog="mc",
description="""
Perform Monte Carlo forecasting
""",
)
parser.add_argument(
"-d",
"--days",
help="Days to predict",
dest="n_days",
type=check_positive,
default=30,
)
parser.add_argument(
"-n",
"--num",
help="Number of simulations to perform",
dest="n_sims",
type=check_positive,
default=100,
)
parser.add_argument(
"--dist",
choices=mc_model.DISTRIBUTIONS,
default="lognormal",
dest="dist",
help="Whether to model returns or log returns",
)
ns_parser = parse_known_args_and_warn(
parser, other_args, export_allowed=EXPORT_ONLY_FIGURES_ALLOWED
)
if ns_parser:
mc_view.display_mc_forecast(
data=self.data,
n_future=ns_parser.n_days,
n_sims=ns_parser.n_sims,
use_log=ns_parser.dist == "lognormal",
export=ns_parser.export,
fig_title=f"Monte Carlo Forecast for {self.current_id}",
)
def menu(series: Dict, queue: List[str] = None):
"""Prediction Techniques Menu"""
pred_controller = PredictionTechniquesController(series, queue)
an_input = "HELP_ME"
while True:
# There is a command in the queue
if pred_controller.queue and len(pred_controller.queue) > 0:
# If the command is quitting the menu we want to return in here
if pred_controller.queue[0] in ("q", "..", "quit"):
t_console.print("")
if len(pred_controller.queue) > 1:
return pred_controller.queue[1:]
return []
# Consume 1 element from the queue
an_input = pred_controller.queue[0]
pred_controller.queue = pred_controller.queue[1:]
# Print the current location because this was an instruction and we want user to know what was the action
if an_input and an_input.split(" ")[0] in pred_controller.CHOICES_COMMANDS:
t_console.print(f"{get_flair()} /economy/fred/pred/ $ {an_input}")
# Get input command from user
else:
# Display help menu when entering on this menu from a level above
if an_input == "HELP_ME":
pred_controller.print_help()
# Get input from user using auto-completion
if session and gtff.USE_PROMPT_TOOLKIT and pred_controller.completer:
try:
an_input = session.prompt(
f"{get_flair()} /economy/fred/pred/ $ ",
completer=pred_controller.completer,
search_ignore_case=True,
)
except KeyboardInterrupt:
# Exit in case of keyboard interrupt
an_input = "exit"
# Get input from user without auto-completion
else:
an_input = input(f"{get_flair()} /economy/fred/pred/ $ ")
try:
# Process the input command
pred_controller.queue = pred_controller.switch(an_input)
except SystemExit:
t_console.print(
f"\nThe command '{an_input}' doesn't exist on the /economy/fred/pred menu.\n",
)
similar_cmd = difflib.get_close_matches(
an_input.split(" ")[0] if " " in an_input else an_input,
pred_controller.CHOICES,
n=1,
cutoff=0.7,
)
if similar_cmd:
if " " in an_input:
candidate_input = (
f"{similar_cmd[0]} {' '.join(an_input.split(' ')[1:])}"
)
if candidate_input == an_input:
an_input = ""
pred_controller.queue = []
t_console.print("")
continue
an_input = candidate_input
else:
an_input = similar_cmd[0]
t_console.print(f" Replacing by '{an_input}'.")
pred_controller.queue.insert(0, an_input)
else:
t_console.print("")

13
scripts/test_economy_fred_pred.gst vendored Normal file
View File

@@ -0,0 +1,13 @@
economy
fred
add dgs5,dgs10
pred
rmv dgs10
reset
add dgs2
pred
mc
regression
lstm --epochs 2
knn
exit

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,740 @@
interactions:
- request:
body: null
headers:
Connection:
- close
Host:
- api.stlouisfed.org
method: GET
uri: https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?api_key=MOCK_API_KEY&observation_start=2020-01-01&series_id=DGS10
response:
body:
string: "<?xml version=\"1.0\" encoding=\"utf-8\" ?>\n<observations realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\"
realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\" observation_start=\"2020-01-01\" observation_end=\"9999-12-31\"
units=\"lin\" output_type=\"1\" file_type=\"xml\" order_by=\"observation_date\"
sort_order=\"asc\" count=\"523\" offset=\"0\" limit=\"100000\">\n <observation
realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\" realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\" date=\"2020-01-01\"
value=\".\"/>\n <observation realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\" realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\"
date=\"2020-01-02\" value=\"1.88\"/>\n <observation realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\"
realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\" date=\"2020-01-03\" value=\"1.80\"/>\n <observation
realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\" realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\" date=\"2020-01-06\"
value=\"1.81\"/>\n <observation realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\" realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\"
date=\"2020-01-07\" value=\"1.83\"/>\n <observation realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\"
realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\" date=\"2020-01-08\" value=\"1.87\"/>\n <observation
realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\" realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\" date=\"2020-01-09\"
value=\"1.85\"/>\n <observation realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\" realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\"
date=\"2020-01-10\" value=\"1.83\"/>\n <observation realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\"
realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\" date=\"2020-01-13\" value=\"1.85\"/>\n <observation
realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\" realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\" date=\"2020-01-14\"
value=\"1.82\"/>\n <observation realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\" realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\"
date=\"2020-01-15\" value=\"1.79\"/>\n <observation realtime_start=\"2022-01-04\"
realtime_end=\"2022-01-04\" date=\"2020-01-16\" value=\"1.81\"/>\n <observation
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Accept:
- '*/*'
Accept-Encoding:
- gzip, deflate, br
Connection:
- keep-alive
method: GET
uri: https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/search?api_key=MOCK_API_KEY&file_type=json&search_text=finance
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2020-07-22,0.6
2020-07-23,0.59
2020-07-24,0.59
2020-07-27,0.62
2020-07-28,0.59
2020-07-29,0.58
2020-07-30,0.55
2020-07-31,0.55
2020-08-03,0.56
2020-08-04,0.52
2020-08-05,0.55
2020-08-06,0.55
2020-08-07,0.57
2020-08-10,0.59
2020-08-11,0.64
2020-08-12,0.69
2020-08-13,0.71
2020-08-14,0.71
2020-08-17,0.69
2020-08-18,0.67
2020-08-19,0.68
2020-08-20,0.65
2020-08-21,0.64
2020-08-24,0.65
2020-08-25,0.69
2020-08-26,0.69
2020-08-27,0.74
2020-08-28,0.74
2020-08-31,0.72
2020-09-01,0.68
2020-09-02,0.66
2020-09-03,0.63
2020-09-04,0.72
2020-09-07,
2020-09-08,0.69
2020-09-09,0.71
2020-09-10,0.68
2020-09-11,0.67
2020-09-14,0.68
2020-09-15,0.68
2020-09-16,0.69
2020-09-17,0.69
2020-09-18,0.7
2020-09-21,0.68
2020-09-22,0.68
2020-09-23,0.68
2020-09-24,0.67
2020-09-25,0.66
2020-09-28,0.67
2020-09-29,0.66
2020-09-30,0.69
2020-10-01,0.68
2020-10-02,0.7
2020-10-05,0.78
2020-10-06,0.76
2020-10-07,0.81
2020-10-08,0.78
2020-10-09,0.79
2020-10-12,
2020-10-13,0.74
2020-10-14,0.73
2020-10-15,0.74
2020-10-16,0.76
2020-10-19,0.78
2020-10-20,0.81
2020-10-21,0.83
2020-10-22,0.87
2020-10-23,0.85
2020-10-26,0.81
2020-10-27,0.79
2020-10-28,0.79
2020-10-29,0.85
2020-10-30,0.88
2020-11-02,0.87
2020-11-03,0.9
2020-11-04,0.78
2020-11-05,0.79
2020-11-06,0.83
2020-11-09,0.96
2020-11-10,0.98
2020-11-11,
2020-11-12,0.88
2020-11-13,0.89
2020-11-16,0.91
2020-11-17,0.87
2020-11-18,0.88
2020-11-19,0.86
2020-11-20,0.83
2020-11-23,0.86
2020-11-24,0.88
2020-11-25,0.88
2020-11-26,
2020-11-27,0.84
2020-11-30,0.84
2020-12-01,0.92
2020-12-02,0.95
2020-12-03,0.92
2020-12-04,0.97
2020-12-07,0.94
2020-12-08,0.92
2020-12-09,0.95
2020-12-10,0.92
2020-12-11,0.9
2020-12-14,0.9
2020-12-15,0.92
2020-12-16,0.92
2020-12-17,0.94
2020-12-18,0.95
2020-12-21,0.95
2020-12-22,0.93
2020-12-23,0.96
2020-12-24,0.94
2020-12-25,
2020-12-28,0.94
2020-12-29,0.94
2020-12-30,0.93
2020-12-31,0.93
2021-01-01,
2021-01-04,0.93
2021-01-05,0.96
2021-01-06,1.04
2021-01-07,1.08
2021-01-08,1.13
2021-01-11,1.15
2021-01-12,1.15
2021-01-13,1.1
2021-01-14,1.15
2021-01-15,1.11
2021-01-18,
2021-01-19,1.1
2021-01-20,1.1
2021-01-21,1.12
2021-01-22,1.1
2021-01-25,1.05
2021-01-26,1.05
2021-01-27,1.04
2021-01-28,1.07
2021-01-29,1.11
2021-02-01,1.09
2021-02-02,1.12
2021-02-03,1.15
2021-02-04,1.15
2021-02-05,1.19
2021-02-08,1.19
2021-02-09,1.18
2021-02-10,1.15
2021-02-11,1.16
2021-02-12,1.2
2021-02-15,
2021-02-16,1.3
2021-02-17,1.29
2021-02-18,1.29
2021-02-19,1.34
2021-02-22,1.37
2021-02-23,1.37
2021-02-24,1.38
2021-02-25,1.54
2021-02-26,1.44
2021-03-01,1.45
2021-03-02,1.42
2021-03-03,1.47
2021-03-04,1.54
2021-03-05,1.56
2021-03-08,1.59
2021-03-09,1.55
2021-03-10,1.53
2021-03-11,1.54
2021-03-12,1.64
2021-03-15,1.62
2021-03-16,1.62
2021-03-17,1.63
2021-03-18,1.71
2021-03-19,1.74
2021-03-22,1.69
2021-03-23,1.63
2021-03-24,1.62
2021-03-25,1.63
2021-03-26,1.67
2021-03-29,1.73
2021-03-30,1.73
2021-03-31,1.74
2021-04-01,1.69
2021-04-02,1.72
2021-04-05,1.73
2021-04-06,1.67
2021-04-07,1.68
2021-04-08,1.64
2021-04-09,1.67
2021-04-12,1.69
2021-04-13,1.64
2021-04-14,1.64
2021-04-15,1.56
2021-04-16,1.59
2021-04-19,1.61
2021-04-20,1.58
2021-04-21,1.57
2021-04-22,1.57
2021-04-23,1.58
2021-04-26,1.58
2021-04-27,1.63
2021-04-28,1.63
2021-04-29,1.65
2021-04-30,1.65
2021-05-03,1.63
2021-05-04,1.61
2021-05-05,1.59
2021-05-06,1.58
2021-05-07,1.6
2021-05-10,1.63
2021-05-11,1.64
2021-05-12,1.69
2021-05-13,1.66
2021-05-14,1.63
2021-05-17,1.64
2021-05-18,1.64
2021-05-19,1.68
2021-05-20,1.63
2021-05-21,1.63
2021-05-24,1.61
2021-05-25,1.56
2021-05-26,1.58
2021-05-27,1.61
2021-05-28,1.58
2021-05-31,
2021-06-01,1.62
2021-06-02,1.59
2021-06-03,1.63
2021-06-04,1.56
2021-06-07,1.57
2021-06-08,1.53
2021-06-09,1.5
2021-06-10,1.45
2021-06-11,1.47
2021-06-14,1.51
2021-06-15,1.51
2021-06-16,1.57
2021-06-17,1.52
2021-06-18,1.45
2021-06-21,1.5
2021-06-22,1.48
2021-06-23,1.5
2021-06-24,1.49
2021-06-25,1.54
2021-06-28,1.49
2021-06-29,1.49
2021-06-30,1.45
2021-07-01,1.48
2021-07-02,1.44
2021-07-05,
2021-07-06,1.37
2021-07-07,1.33
2021-07-08,1.3
2021-07-09,1.37
2021-07-12,1.38
2021-07-13,1.42
2021-07-14,1.37
2021-07-15,1.31
2021-07-16,1.31
2021-07-19,1.19
2021-07-20,1.23
2021-07-21,1.3
2021-07-22,1.27
2021-07-23,1.3
2021-07-26,1.29
2021-07-27,1.25
2021-07-28,1.26
2021-07-29,1.28
2021-07-30,1.24
2021-08-02,1.2
2021-08-03,1.19
2021-08-04,1.19
2021-08-05,1.23
2021-08-06,1.31
2021-08-09,1.33
2021-08-10,1.36
2021-08-11,1.35
2021-08-12,1.36
2021-08-13,1.29
2021-08-16,1.26
2021-08-17,1.26
2021-08-18,1.27
2021-08-19,1.24
2021-08-20,1.26
2021-08-23,1.25
2021-08-24,1.29
2021-08-25,1.35
2021-08-26,1.34
2021-08-27,1.31
2021-08-30,1.29
2021-08-31,1.3
2021-09-01,1.31
2021-09-02,1.29
2021-09-03,1.33
2021-09-06,
2021-09-07,1.38
2021-09-08,1.35
2021-09-09,1.3
2021-09-10,1.35
2021-09-13,1.33
2021-09-14,1.28
2021-09-15,1.31
2021-09-16,1.34
2021-09-17,1.37
2021-09-20,1.31
2021-09-21,1.33
2021-09-22,1.32
2021-09-23,1.41
2021-09-24,1.47
2021-09-27,1.48
2021-09-28,1.54
2021-09-29,1.55
2021-09-30,1.52
2021-10-01,1.48
2021-10-04,1.49
2021-10-05,1.54
2021-10-06,1.53
2021-10-07,1.58
2021-10-08,1.61
2021-10-11,
2021-10-12,1.59
2021-10-13,1.56
2021-10-14,1.52
2021-10-15,1.59
2021-10-18,1.59
2021-10-19,1.65
2021-10-20,1.65
2021-10-21,1.68
2021-10-22,1.66
2021-10-25,1.64
2021-10-26,1.63
2021-10-27,1.54
2021-10-28,1.57
2021-10-29,1.55
2021-11-01,1.58
2021-11-02,1.56
2021-11-03,1.6
2021-11-04,1.53
2021-11-05,1.45
2021-11-08,1.51
2021-11-09,1.46
2021-11-10,1.56
2021-11-11,
2021-11-12,1.58
2021-11-15,1.63
2021-11-16,1.63
2021-11-17,1.6
2021-11-18,1.59
2021-11-19,1.54
2021-11-22,1.63
2021-11-23,1.67
2021-11-24,1.64
2021-11-25,
2021-11-26,1.48
2021-11-29,1.52
2021-11-30,1.43
2021-12-01,1.43
2021-12-02,1.44
2021-12-03,1.35
2021-12-06,1.43
2021-12-07,1.48
2021-12-08,1.52
2021-12-09,1.49
2021-12-10,1.48
2021-12-13,1.42
2021-12-14,1.44
2021-12-15,1.47
2021-12-16,1.44
2021-12-17,1.41
2021-12-20,1.43
2021-12-21,1.48
2021-12-22,1.46
2021-12-23,1.5
2021-12-24,
2021-12-27,1.48
2021-12-28,1.49
2021-12-29,1.55
2021-12-30,1.52
2021-12-31,1.52
1 0
2 2020-01-01
3 2020-01-02 1.88
4 2020-01-03 1.8
5 2020-01-06 1.81
6 2020-01-07 1.83
7 2020-01-08 1.87
8 2020-01-09 1.85
9 2020-01-10 1.83
10 2020-01-13 1.85
11 2020-01-14 1.82
12 2020-01-15 1.79
13 2020-01-16 1.81
14 2020-01-17 1.84
15 2020-01-20
16 2020-01-21 1.78
17 2020-01-22 1.77
18 2020-01-23 1.74
19 2020-01-24 1.7
20 2020-01-27 1.61
21 2020-01-28 1.65
22 2020-01-29 1.6
23 2020-01-30 1.57
24 2020-01-31 1.51
25 2020-02-03 1.54
26 2020-02-04 1.61
27 2020-02-05 1.66
28 2020-02-06 1.65
29 2020-02-07 1.59
30 2020-02-10 1.56
31 2020-02-11 1.59
32 2020-02-12 1.62
33 2020-02-13 1.61
34 2020-02-14 1.59
35 2020-02-17
36 2020-02-18 1.55
37 2020-02-19 1.56
38 2020-02-20 1.52
39 2020-02-21 1.46
40 2020-02-24 1.38
41 2020-02-25 1.33
42 2020-02-26 1.33
43 2020-02-27 1.3
44 2020-02-28 1.13
45 2020-03-02 1.1
46 2020-03-03 1.02
47 2020-03-04 1.02
48 2020-03-05 0.92
49 2020-03-06 0.74
50 2020-03-09 0.54
51 2020-03-10 0.76
52 2020-03-11 0.82
53 2020-03-12 0.88
54 2020-03-13 0.94
55 2020-03-16 0.73
56 2020-03-17 1.02
57 2020-03-18 1.18
58 2020-03-19 1.12
59 2020-03-20 0.92
60 2020-03-23 0.76
61 2020-03-24 0.84
62 2020-03-25 0.88
63 2020-03-26 0.83
64 2020-03-27 0.72
65 2020-03-30 0.7
66 2020-03-31 0.7
67 2020-04-01 0.62
68 2020-04-02 0.63
69 2020-04-03 0.62
70 2020-04-06 0.67
71 2020-04-07 0.75
72 2020-04-08 0.77
73 2020-04-09 0.73
74 2020-04-10
75 2020-04-13 0.76
76 2020-04-14 0.76
77 2020-04-15 0.63
78 2020-04-16 0.61
79 2020-04-17 0.65
80 2020-04-20 0.63
81 2020-04-21 0.58
82 2020-04-22 0.63
83 2020-04-23 0.61
84 2020-04-24 0.6
85 2020-04-27 0.67
86 2020-04-28 0.62
87 2020-04-29 0.63
88 2020-04-30 0.64
89 2020-05-01 0.64
90 2020-05-04 0.64
91 2020-05-05 0.66
92 2020-05-06 0.72
93 2020-05-07 0.63
94 2020-05-08 0.69
95 2020-05-11 0.73
96 2020-05-12 0.69
97 2020-05-13 0.64
98 2020-05-14 0.63
99 2020-05-15 0.64
100 2020-05-18 0.73
101 2020-05-19 0.7
102 2020-05-20 0.68
103 2020-05-21 0.68
104 2020-05-22 0.66
105 2020-05-25
106 2020-05-26 0.69
107 2020-05-27 0.68
108 2020-05-28 0.7
109 2020-05-29 0.65
110 2020-06-01 0.66
111 2020-06-02 0.68
112 2020-06-03 0.77
113 2020-06-04 0.82
114 2020-06-05 0.91
115 2020-06-08 0.88
116 2020-06-09 0.84
117 2020-06-10 0.75
118 2020-06-11 0.66
119 2020-06-12 0.71
120 2020-06-15 0.71
121 2020-06-16 0.75
122 2020-06-17 0.74
123 2020-06-18 0.71
124 2020-06-19 0.7
125 2020-06-22 0.71
126 2020-06-23 0.72
127 2020-06-24 0.69
128 2020-06-25 0.68
129 2020-06-26 0.64
130 2020-06-29 0.64
131 2020-06-30 0.66
132 2020-07-01 0.69
133 2020-07-02 0.68
134 2020-07-03
135 2020-07-06 0.69
136 2020-07-07 0.65
137 2020-07-08 0.67
138 2020-07-09 0.62
139 2020-07-10 0.65
140 2020-07-13 0.64
141 2020-07-14 0.63
142 2020-07-15 0.64
143 2020-07-16 0.62
144 2020-07-17 0.64
145 2020-07-20 0.62
146 2020-07-21 0.61
147 2020-07-22 0.6
148 2020-07-23 0.59
149 2020-07-24 0.59
150 2020-07-27 0.62
151 2020-07-28 0.59
152 2020-07-29 0.58
153 2020-07-30 0.55
154 2020-07-31 0.55
155 2020-08-03 0.56
156 2020-08-04 0.52
157 2020-08-05 0.55
158 2020-08-06 0.55
159 2020-08-07 0.57
160 2020-08-10 0.59
161 2020-08-11 0.64
162 2020-08-12 0.69
163 2020-08-13 0.71
164 2020-08-14 0.71
165 2020-08-17 0.69
166 2020-08-18 0.67
167 2020-08-19 0.68
168 2020-08-20 0.65
169 2020-08-21 0.64
170 2020-08-24 0.65
171 2020-08-25 0.69
172 2020-08-26 0.69
173 2020-08-27 0.74
174 2020-08-28 0.74
175 2020-08-31 0.72
176 2020-09-01 0.68
177 2020-09-02 0.66
178 2020-09-03 0.63
179 2020-09-04 0.72
180 2020-09-07
181 2020-09-08 0.69
182 2020-09-09 0.71
183 2020-09-10 0.68
184 2020-09-11 0.67
185 2020-09-14 0.68
186 2020-09-15 0.68
187 2020-09-16 0.69
188 2020-09-17 0.69
189 2020-09-18 0.7
190 2020-09-21 0.68
191 2020-09-22 0.68
192 2020-09-23 0.68
193 2020-09-24 0.67
194 2020-09-25 0.66
195 2020-09-28 0.67
196 2020-09-29 0.66
197 2020-09-30 0.69
198 2020-10-01 0.68
199 2020-10-02 0.7
200 2020-10-05 0.78
201 2020-10-06 0.76
202 2020-10-07 0.81
203 2020-10-08 0.78
204 2020-10-09 0.79
205 2020-10-12
206 2020-10-13 0.74
207 2020-10-14 0.73
208 2020-10-15 0.74
209 2020-10-16 0.76
210 2020-10-19 0.78
211 2020-10-20 0.81
212 2020-10-21 0.83
213 2020-10-22 0.87
214 2020-10-23 0.85
215 2020-10-26 0.81
216 2020-10-27 0.79
217 2020-10-28 0.79
218 2020-10-29 0.85
219 2020-10-30 0.88
220 2020-11-02 0.87
221 2020-11-03 0.9
222 2020-11-04 0.78
223 2020-11-05 0.79
224 2020-11-06 0.83
225 2020-11-09 0.96
226 2020-11-10 0.98
227 2020-11-11
228 2020-11-12 0.88
229 2020-11-13 0.89
230 2020-11-16 0.91
231 2020-11-17 0.87
232 2020-11-18 0.88
233 2020-11-19 0.86
234 2020-11-20 0.83
235 2020-11-23 0.86
236 2020-11-24 0.88
237 2020-11-25 0.88
238 2020-11-26
239 2020-11-27 0.84
240 2020-11-30 0.84
241 2020-12-01 0.92
242 2020-12-02 0.95
243 2020-12-03 0.92
244 2020-12-04 0.97
245 2020-12-07 0.94
246 2020-12-08 0.92
247 2020-12-09 0.95
248 2020-12-10 0.92
249 2020-12-11 0.9
250 2020-12-14 0.9
251 2020-12-15 0.92
252 2020-12-16 0.92
253 2020-12-17 0.94
254 2020-12-18 0.95
255 2020-12-21 0.95
256 2020-12-22 0.93
257 2020-12-23 0.96
258 2020-12-24 0.94
259 2020-12-25
260 2020-12-28 0.94
261 2020-12-29 0.94
262 2020-12-30 0.93
263 2020-12-31 0.93
264 2021-01-01
265 2021-01-04 0.93
266 2021-01-05 0.96
267 2021-01-06 1.04
268 2021-01-07 1.08
269 2021-01-08 1.13
270 2021-01-11 1.15
271 2021-01-12 1.15
272 2021-01-13 1.1
273 2021-01-14 1.15
274 2021-01-15 1.11
275 2021-01-18
276 2021-01-19 1.1
277 2021-01-20 1.1
278 2021-01-21 1.12
279 2021-01-22 1.1
280 2021-01-25 1.05
281 2021-01-26 1.05
282 2021-01-27 1.04
283 2021-01-28 1.07
284 2021-01-29 1.11
285 2021-02-01 1.09
286 2021-02-02 1.12
287 2021-02-03 1.15
288 2021-02-04 1.15
289 2021-02-05 1.19
290 2021-02-08 1.19
291 2021-02-09 1.18
292 2021-02-10 1.15
293 2021-02-11 1.16
294 2021-02-12 1.2
295 2021-02-15
296 2021-02-16 1.3
297 2021-02-17 1.29
298 2021-02-18 1.29
299 2021-02-19 1.34
300 2021-02-22 1.37
301 2021-02-23 1.37
302 2021-02-24 1.38
303 2021-02-25 1.54
304 2021-02-26 1.44
305 2021-03-01 1.45
306 2021-03-02 1.42
307 2021-03-03 1.47
308 2021-03-04 1.54
309 2021-03-05 1.56
310 2021-03-08 1.59
311 2021-03-09 1.55
312 2021-03-10 1.53
313 2021-03-11 1.54
314 2021-03-12 1.64
315 2021-03-15 1.62
316 2021-03-16 1.62
317 2021-03-17 1.63
318 2021-03-18 1.71
319 2021-03-19 1.74
320 2021-03-22 1.69
321 2021-03-23 1.63
322 2021-03-24 1.62
323 2021-03-25 1.63
324 2021-03-26 1.67
325 2021-03-29 1.73
326 2021-03-30 1.73
327 2021-03-31 1.74
328 2021-04-01 1.69
329 2021-04-02 1.72
330 2021-04-05 1.73
331 2021-04-06 1.67
332 2021-04-07 1.68
333 2021-04-08 1.64
334 2021-04-09 1.67
335 2021-04-12 1.69
336 2021-04-13 1.64
337 2021-04-14 1.64
338 2021-04-15 1.56
339 2021-04-16 1.59
340 2021-04-19 1.61
341 2021-04-20 1.58
342 2021-04-21 1.57
343 2021-04-22 1.57
344 2021-04-23 1.58
345 2021-04-26 1.58
346 2021-04-27 1.63
347 2021-04-28 1.63
348 2021-04-29 1.65
349 2021-04-30 1.65
350 2021-05-03 1.63
351 2021-05-04 1.61
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@@ -0,0 +1 @@
[{"id": "DGS5", "realtime_start": "2022-01-04", "realtime_end": "2022-01-04", "title": "Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity", "observation_start": "1962-01-02", "observation_end": "2021-12-31", "frequency": "Daily", "frequency_short": "D", "units": "Percent", "units_short": "%", "seasonal_adjustment": "Not Seasonally Adjusted", "seasonal_adjustment_short": "NSA", "last_updated": "2022-01-03 15:23:07-06", "popularity": 76, "notes": "For further information regarding treasury constant maturity data, please refer to the Board of Governors (http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/current/h15.pdf) and the Treasury (http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/yieldmethod.aspx)."}]

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,72 @@
import pytest
import requests
from gamestonk_terminal.economy.fred import fred_model
@pytest.fixture(scope="module")
def vcr_config():
return {
"filter_headers": [("User-Agent", None)],
"filter_query_parameters": [
("api_key", "MOCK_API_KEY"),
],
}
@pytest.mark.vcr
@pytest.mark.parametrize(
"func, kwargs_dict",
[("check_series_id", {"series_id": "DGS5"})],
)
def test_output(func, kwargs_dict, recorder):
result_tuple = getattr(fred_model, func)(**kwargs_dict)
assert result_tuple[0] is True
assert "seriess" in result_tuple[1]
recorder.capture(result_tuple[1]["seriess"])
@pytest.mark.vcr
@pytest.mark.parametrize(
"func, kwargs_dict",
[
("get_series_notes", {"series_term": "finance"}),
("get_series_data", {"series_id": "DGS10", "start": "2020-01-01"}),
],
)
def test_check_output(func, kwargs_dict, recorder):
result_df = getattr(fred_model, func)(**kwargs_dict)
assert not result_df.empty
recorder.capture(result_df)
@pytest.mark.vcr
@pytest.mark.parametrize(
"func, kwargs_dict",
[
("check_series_id", {"series_id": "DGS5"}),
],
)
def test_invalid_response_status(func, kwargs_dict, mocker):
mock_response = requests.Response()
mock_response.status_code = 500
mocker.patch(
target="requests.get",
new=mocker.Mock(return_value=mock_response),
)
result_tuple = getattr(fred_model, func)(**kwargs_dict)
assert result_tuple[0] is False
assert bool(result_tuple[1]) is False
@pytest.mark.vcr
@pytest.mark.parametrize(
"func, kwargs_dict",
[("get_series_data", {"series_id": "DGS10", "start": "2020-01-01"})],
)
def test_load_data(func, kwargs_dict, recorder):
result_df = getattr(fred_model, func)(**kwargs_dict)
assert not result_df.empty
recorder.capture(result_df)

View File

@@ -1,43 +0,0 @@
""" econ/fred_view.py tests """
import unittest
from unittest import mock
import io
import pytest
import pandas as pd
from gamestonk_terminal.economy.fred.fred_view import display_fred_series
from tests.helpers.helpers import check_print
fred_data_mock = """
For 'gdp', series IDs found: GDP, GDPC1, M2V, GFDEGDQ188S, PAYEMS.
GDP
---
Date
2019-01-01 21001.591
2019-04-01 21289.268
2019-07-01 21505.012
2019-10-01 21694.458
2020-01-01 21481.367
2020-04-01 19477.444
2020-07-01 21138.574
2020-10-01 21477.597
2021-01-01 22038.226
2021-04-01 22722.581
"""
@pytest.mark.skip
class TestFredFredView(unittest.TestCase):
@check_print(assert_in="gdp")
@mock.patch("gamestonk_terminal.economy.fred.fred_model.get_series_data")
def test_display_fred(self, mock_get_series):
fred_data = pd.read_csv(io.StringIO(fred_data_mock), header=0, index_col=0)
mock_get_series.return_value = fred_data
display_fred_series(
d_series={"gdp": {"title": "GDP", "units": "Bil Dollars"}},
start_date="2019-01-01",
raw=True,
export="",
)

View File

@@ -236,14 +236,14 @@ def test_call_func_expect_queue(expected_queue, func, queue):
(
"call_ca",
[],
"",
"ca_controller.menu",
[],
dict(),
),
(
"call_po",
[],
"",
"po_controller.menu",
[],
dict(),
),

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@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
---
geekdocCollapseSection: true
---
{{< toc-tree >}}
Menu for accessing Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)

View File

@@ -922,6 +922,27 @@ main:
ref: "/economy/fred/rmv"
- name: plot
ref: "/economy/fred/plot"
- name: prediction techniques
ref: "/common/prediction_techniques"
sub:
- name: ets
ref: "/common/prediction_techniques/ets"
- name: knn
ref: "/common/prediction_techniques/knn"
- name: regression
ref: "/common/prediction_techniques/regression"
- name: arima
ref: "/common/prediction_techniques/arima"
- name: mlp
ref: "/common/prediction_techniques/mlp"
- name: rnn
ref: "/common/prediction_techniques/rnn"
- name: lstm
ref: "/common/prediction_techniques/lstm"
- name: conv1d
ref: "/common/prediction_techniques/conv1d"
- name: mc
ref: "/common/prediction_techniques/mc"
- name: etf
ref: "/etf"
sub: