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---------

Co-authored-by: jose-donato <zmcdonato@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: jose-donato <43375532+jose-donato@users.noreply.github.com>
Co-authored-by: andrewkenreich <andrew.kenreich@gmail.com>
2023-10-30 21:01:29 +00:00

6.3 KiB
Vendored

title, description, keywords
title description keywords
nhits The nhits page provide detailed parameters for forecasting using the Temporal Fusion Transformer model for predicting time-series. A step by step guide to use nhits in a command-line along with additional key performance indicators are provided. This is an effective resource for financial market predictions and similar time-series forecasting tasks with tutorial and potential usage for nn models.
nhits
darts forecasting
tft model
time-series forecasting
forecast parameters
nn models
tensorflow models
neural network models
stock market predict
financial forecast
nhits command

import HeadTitle from '@site/src/components/General/HeadTitle.tsx';

Perform nhits forecast: https://unit8co.github.io/darts/generated_api/darts.models.forecasting.tft_model.html

Usage

nhits [--num-stacks NUM_STACKS] [--num-blocks NUM_BLOCKS] [--num-layers NUM_LAYERS] [--layer_widths LAYER_WIDTHS] [--activation {ReLU,RReLU,PReLU,Softplus,Tanh,SELU,LeakyReLU,Sigmoid}] [--max_pool_1d] [--past-covariates PAST_COVARIATES] [--all-past-covariates] [--naive] [-d {}] [-c TARGET_COLUMN] [-n N_DAYS] [-t TRAIN_SPLIT] [-i INPUT_CHUNK_LENGTH] [-o OUTPUT_CHUNK_LENGTH] [--force-reset FORCE_RESET] [--save-checkpoints SAVE_CHECKPOINTS] [--model-save-name MODEL_SAVE_NAME] [--n-epochs N_EPOCHS] [--dropout DROPOUT] [--batch-size BATCH_SIZE] [--end S_END_DATE] [--start S_START_DATE] [--residuals] [--forecast-only] [--export-pred-raw]

Parameters

Name Description Default Optional Choices
num_stacks The number of stacks that make up the model 3 True None
num_blocks The number of blocks making up every stack 1 True None
num_layers The number of fully connected layers 2 True None
layer_widths The number of neurons in each layer 512 True None
activation The desired activation ReLU True ReLU, RReLU, PReLU, Softplus, Tanh, SELU, LeakyReLU, Sigmoid
maxpool1d Whether to use max_pool_1d or AvgPool1d True True None
past_covariates Past covariates(columns/features) in same dataset. Comma separated. None True None
all_past_covariates Adds all rows as past covariates except for date and the target column. False True None
naive Show the naive baseline for a model. False True None
target_dataset The name of the dataset you want to select None True None
target_column The name of the specific column you want to use close True None
n_days prediction days. 5 True None
train_split Start point for rolling training and forecast window. 0.0-1.0 0.85 True None
input_chunk_length Number of past time steps for forecasting module at prediction time. 14 True None
output_chunk_length The length of the forecast of the model. 5 True None
force_reset If set to True, any previously-existing model with the same name will be reset (all checkpoints will be discarded). True True None
save_checkpoints Whether to automatically save the untrained model and checkpoints. True True None
model_save_name Name of the model to save. nhits_model True None
n_epochs Number of epochs over which to train the model. 300 True None
dropout Fraction of neurons affected by Dropout, from 0 to 1. 0.1 True None
batch_size Number of time series (input and output) used in each training pass 32 True None
s_end_date The end date (format YYYY-MM-DD) to select for testing None True None
s_start_date The start date (format YYYY-MM-DD) to select for testing None True None
residuals Show the residuals for the model. False True None
forecast_only Do not plot the historical data without forecasts. False True None
export_pred_raw Export predictions to a csv file. False True None

Examples

2022 Oct 11, 06:38 D /forecast/ $ load AAPL_20220719_201127.csv

2022 Oct 11, 06:38 D /forecast/ $ nhits AAPL_20220719_201127
Epoch 153: 100%|███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████| 25/25 [00:0000:00, 183.87it/s, loss=-1.56, train_loss=-1.60, val_loss=-.954]
Predicting NHITS for 5 days
100%|███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████| 115/115 [00:0100:00, 92.46it/s]
NHITS model obtains MAPE: 7.45%



   Actual price: 147.07
┏━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━┓
┃ Datetime   ┃ Prediction ┃
┡━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━┩
│ 2022-07-19 │ 134.84     │
├────────────┼────────────┤
│ 2022-07-20 │ 141.80     │
├────────────┼────────────┤
│ 2022-07-21 │ 131.06     │
├────────────┼────────────┤
│ 2022-07-22 │ 102.95     │
├────────────┼────────────┤
│ 2022-07-25 │ 123.72     │
└────────────┴────────────┘

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