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Co-authored-by: jose-donato <zmcdonato@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: jose-donato <43375532+jose-donato@users.noreply.github.com>
Co-authored-by: andrewkenreich <andrew.kenreich@gmail.com>
2023-10-30 21:01:29 +00:00

5.5 KiB
Vendored

title, description, keywords
title description keywords
rnn Explore the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) for time series forecasting. It explains how to perform RNN forecasts using different architectures like Vanilla RNN, LSTM, and GRU, using the Darts models forecasting library. The document covers usage examples, parameters description and features of the model.
RNN forecast
Vanilla RNN
LSTM
GRU
darts.models.forecasting.rnn_model
parameters
examples
machine learning
model training
model prediction
time series analysis

import HeadTitle from '@site/src/components/General/HeadTitle.tsx';

Perform RNN forecast (Vanilla RNN, LSTM, GRU): https://unit8co.github.io/darts/generated_api/darts.models.forecasting.rnn_model.html

Usage

rnn [--hidden-dim HIDDEN_DIM] [--training_length TRAINING_LENGTH] [--naive] [-d {}] [-c TARGET_COLUMN] [-n N_DAYS] [-t TRAIN_SPLIT] [-i INPUT_CHUNK_LENGTH] [--force-reset FORCE_RESET] [--save-checkpoints SAVE_CHECKPOINTS] [--model-save-name MODEL_SAVE_NAME] [--n-epochs N_EPOCHS] [--model-type MODEL_TYPE] [--dropout DROPOUT] [--batch-size BATCH_SIZE] [--end S_END_DATE] [--start S_START_DATE] [--learning-rate LEARNING_RATE] [--residuals] [--forecast-only] [--export-pred-raw]

Parameters

Name Description Default Optional Choices
hidden_dim Size for feature maps for each hidden RNN layer (h_n) 20 True None
training_length The length of both input (target and covariates) and output (target) time series used during training. Generally speaking, training_length should have a higher value than input_chunk_length because otherwise during training the RNN is never run for as many iterations as it will during training. 20 True None
naive Show the naive baseline for a model. False True None
target_dataset The name of the dataset you want to select None True None
target_column The name of the specific column you want to use close True None
n_days prediction days. 5 True None
train_split Start point for rolling training and forecast window. 0.0-1.0 0.85 True None
input_chunk_length Number of past time steps for forecasting module at prediction time. 14 True None
force_reset If set to True, any previously-existing model with the same name will be reset (all checkpoints will be discarded). True True None
save_checkpoints Whether to automatically save the untrained model and checkpoints. True True None
model_save_name Name of the model to save. rnn_model True None
n_epochs Number of epochs over which to train the model. 300 True None
model_type Either a string specifying the RNN module type ("RNN", "LSTM" or "GRU") LSTM True None
dropout Fraction of neurons affected by Dropout, from 0 to 1. 0 True None
batch_size Number of time series (input and output) used in each training pass 32 True None
s_end_date The end date (format YYYY-MM-DD) to select for testing None True None
s_start_date The start date (format YYYY-MM-DD) to select for testing None True None
learning_rate Learning rate during training. 0.001 True None
residuals Show the residuals for the model. False True None
forecast_only Do not plot the historical data without forecasts. False True None
export_pred_raw Export predictions to a csv file. False True None

Examples

2022 Jul 23, 10:36 (🦋) /forecast/ $ load GME_20220719_123734.csv -a GME

2022 Jul 23, 11:03 (🦋) /forecast/ $ rnn GME
100%|███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████| 115/115 [00:0700:00, 15.10it/s]
RNN model obtains MAPE: 14.67%



       Actual price: $ 146.64
┏━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━┓
┃ Datetime            ┃ Prediction ┃
┡━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━┩
│ 2022-07-19 00:00:00 │ $ 146.89   │
├─────────────────────┼────────────┤
│ 2022-07-20 00:00:00 │ $ 148.58   │
├─────────────────────┼────────────┤
│ 2022-07-21 00:00:00 │ $ 150.00   │
├─────────────────────┼────────────┤
│ 2022-07-22 00:00:00 │ $ 151.23   │
├─────────────────────┼────────────┤
│ 2022-07-25 00:00:00 │ $ 152.29   │
└─────────────────────┴────────────┘

rnn